Fantasy Football
September 9, 2012 posted by Dan Leason

2012 Fantasy Football : Historically Speaking Week One

2012 Fantasy Football : Historically Speaking Week One
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In the Historically Speaking article, we’ll be looking at how players have historically fared against their weekly opponent over the last few seasons. Some have performed admirably, while others just can’t seem to get it going. Now understand it’s important that when setting your lineup you don’t out-fox yourself, just take the information and make an informed decision!

Let’s open up the FP911 History Book..

San Diego QB Phillip Rivers

San Diego QB Phillip Rivers

The Oakland Raiders face the San Diego Chargers in a classic AFC West contest, and if you look at the history, this is quite a matchup for the quarterbacks. Last season, despite dusting himself off from months of inactivity, Raiders QB Carson Palmer threw for an amazing 716 yards and tossed four touchdown passes against the Chargers. The last time he faced them was as a member of the Bengals and he amazed again with 440 passing yards and three touchdowns. San Diego QB Phillip Rivers has enjoyed this matchup as well, averaging 292 passing yards and two touchdown passes in 2011, and throwing for a combined 712 yards and three more touchdowns in two matchups against the Raiders in 2010.

The Houston Texans may have their issues running the ball against the Miami Dolphins, but the passing game should flourish. The last two times QB Matt Schaub went up against Miami, he threw for 230 yards and two touchdowns in 2010 and 286 and two touchdowns in 2009. Steady as it comes.

If your lucky enough to have the likes of Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (298 passing yards and 3 TD in 2010 and 344 yards and 2 TDs in 2009 against San Francisco) or Patriots QB Tom Brady (380 passing yards and SIX touchdown passes against Tennessee in 2009) you’ll probably be pretty happy come late Sunday.

On the negative side of things, the last time Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan faced the Kansas City Chiefs, he threw for 192 yards and one touchdown. Ok, it was way back in 2008, so I will cut him some slack, but look for Matty Ice to melt down again as the Falcons face the Chiefs at Arrowhead this weekend.

Miami Dolphins RB Reggie Bush

Miami Dolphins RB Reggie Bush

Out of the backfield, there are definitely a few matchups to take a look at. I already had Texans RB Arian Foster in my Week One Busts article, and history as not been on his side to say the least. The last time Foster played Miami, he carried the ball ten times for 33 yards and no touchdowns. RB Ben Tate took over and made more of an impact with over 100 yards rushing. For Miami, RB Reggie Bush has had his issues with the Texans, in 2011 with a paltry 18 yards on the ground, and then as a New Orleans Saint where he underwhelmed with 10 yards rushing.

Even though the Falcons are being touted as more of a passing team moving forward with the likes of wide receivers Roddy White and Julio Jones, you can’t discount what RB Michael Turner brings to the table. Last time he faced the Chiefs, Turner rushed for 104 yards and found the end zone three times.

He’s questionable with back spasms, but regardless, Seattle Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch would be doubtful to get into the end zone anyway. Over his last four games against the Cardinals, despite serviceable yardage totals, Skittles was unable to taste the rainbow.

Two others who bring a history of futility to the table are Denver Broncos RB Willis McGahee against the Steelers (61 rushing yards and no touchdowns in 2011) and Buffalo Bills RB Fred Jackson, who in his last three games against the New York Jets has no touchdowns. Jets RB Shonn Greene mirrors that futility with no touchdowns in his last three games against the Bills.

New York Jets RB Shonn Greene

New York Jets RB Shonn Greene

Let’s end the running back section with air of positivity and look at Carolina Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart and Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice. Stewart averaged 99 yards and score two touchdowns over the last few matchups against the Buccaneers in 2011. If he is able to play, he’s a solid option, but that is a big if. Keep in mind in 2011 Stewart, Panthers QB Cam Newton and fellow RB DeAngelo Williams literally ran all over the Buccaneers and it’s likely to continue.

Since 2009, Baltimore’s Ray Rice has averaged over 100 yards and scored six touchdowns against the Bengals. Something tells me he adds to this total in a big way this weekend. The first overall pick in many fantasy drafts will more than prove his worth this weekend.

Looking at receivers, you’ll definitely find some ups and downs when looking at recent statistical history. The last time Green Bay Packers WR Greg Jennings faced the 49ers, he had himself quite a game. Jennings caught 6 passes for 122 yards and found the end zone twice. Look for some aerial fireworks in this week’s game as well, for sure. New England Patriots WR Wes Welker was a few years younger of course, but he’ll be looking to duplicate his 2009 effort against the Titans when he caught 10 passes for 105 yards and score three times.

Green Bay Packers WR Greg Jennings

Green Bay Packers WR Greg Jennings

For the Titans, I would expect WR Nate Washington to look to better his last outing against the Patriots, when he caught ONE pass for -22 yards. No, that’s not a speck on yoru computer monitor – it’s really MINUS 22 yards. Let’s hope new Titans QB Jake Locker helps him out with that.

Playing the Baltimore Ravens defense is never a picnic in the park, and WR AJ Green knows that better than most. In his dynamic rookie season, Green managed only two receptions for 26 yards and no touchdowns against the Ravens. Similarly, had Steelers WR Mike Wallace not scored a one-yard rushing touchdown, his last outing against the Broncos would have been a total disaster. Wallace only caught three passes for 26 yards. You were expecting more I would imagine.

On the plus side of things, Atlanta Falcons WR Roddy White feasted on the Chiefs secondary with 199 yards and a touchdown and Denver Broncos WR Demaryius Thomas wasn’t impressed with the Steelers defense, catching four passes for 204 yards and a touchdown.

San Francisco 49ers TE Vernon Davis

San Francisco 49ers TE Vernon Davis

On the tight end front, thumbs up for San Francisco 49ers TE Vernon Davis, as he grabbed four passes for 126 yards and a touchdown in 2010 and caught another six passes for 108 yards and yet another touchdown pass in 2009. History is not on the side of Baltimore Ravens TE Ed Dickson. In two games against the Bengals in 2011, Dickson only managed three receptions and never topped 21 yards in either game let alone find the end zone.

Kinda leaves you with a funny feeling in the Pitta of your stomach.

See you next week!

After the stark reality that world domination really wasn't an option, I decided to dabble in the maddening lunacy that is Fantasy Football. Beginning when weekly scores were tabulated utilizing the box scores in the sports section of the USA Today, this hobby has developed into a 18 year passion. After years contributing to the likes of Fantasy Advantage, Red Eye Sports, Pigskin Addiction and Fantasy GameDay, I am thrilled to be on board here at Fantasy Pros 911. Drop me a line - look forward to chewing the Fantasy Football fat with YOU! Follow me on Twitter @djleason
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