Fantasy Football
September 22, 2012 posted by Dan Leason

2012 Fantasy Football : Historically Speaking Week 3

2012 Fantasy Football : Historically Speaking Week 3
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Welcome fantasy football dwellers, into the FantasyPros 911 Cave! In other caves you’ll see drawings of tribesmen hunting and gathering.

FP911 Cave Drawing.. Yes, that IS Brett Favre!

FP911 Cave Drawing.. Yes, that IS Brett Favre!

In our cave, we’ll check out the history through past performaces and numbers – hunting and gathering in a NFL sort of way!


QB Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears – Safe to say that Cutler has been the source of controversy recently after last week’s dismal performance as well as the much-publicized “issue” with tackle J’Marcus Webb. I guess he was a tad irritated after being sacked seven times. Of course, picking a fight with one of your offensive lineman, let alone one that is 6’ 7” 333 lbs probably isn’t the smartest move. That said, this week’s matchup against the St. Loius Rams should bring everyone together, right? While I think the Bears win this contest, Cutler’s last outing against the Rams wasn’t much to write home about. After torching them in 2007 for 302 yards and two touchdowns as a member of the Denver Broncos, in 2009 the carriage turned back into a pumpkin with 143 passing yards and a single touchdown. If that happens again, Webb better get a bodyguard. Can you sense the sarcasm?

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills – The last time Fitzpatrick faced the Cleveland Browns, he put together quite the mediocre performance. Back in 2010, he threw for 143 yards and one touchdown. Not exactly the type of performance that makes fantasy foes shiver.

Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger

Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger

QB Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – For some reason Big Ben is never mentioned in the upper echelon of the position. That’s fine, it’s nice to see him quietly go about his business and put up quality numbers week in and week out. Against the Oakland Raiders he’s more than done that. In 2009, Roethlisberger passed for 278 yards and two touchdowns. In 2010, he cranked it up even further, with 275 passing yards, three touchdown strikes and added 55 yards rushing (he’s like Fran Tarkenton!!!) and another score on the ground.

QB Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys – If past history is any indication, Tony Romo is in line to put last week’s disaster against the Seahawks behind him. In 2009 against the Buccaneers, Romo completed 16 passes for 353 yards and three touchdowns. This past season, he continued to torment Tampa Bay with 249 passing yards, three touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. Just watch the “victory formation”, OK?

Running Backs 

RB Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars – He was welcomed back by fantasy owners because of past performances like the ones he puts up against the Indianapolis Colts. Jones-Drew has been a beast against them over the past few seasons without a doubt. In 2010 he rushed for 105 yards and a touchdown and added two receptions for 16 yards and another score. Last season he faced them twice and averaged over 140 yards rushing and a touchdown. Welcome back, Maurice.

RB Shonn Greene, New York Jets – I mentioned Greene in my Week Three Bust article and rightfully so. Aside from bringing a 3.3 yard per carry average against Miami, he has yet to score a touchdown in their last six meetings. You’ll want to note that the Miami Dolphins rush defense is even better now. Go Green, but don’t go Greene.

Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice

Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice

RB Pierre Thomas, New Orleans Saints - Of course he was younger and healthier in 2008, weren’t we all? As evidenced by last week’s quality performance, if he’s given the opportunity Thomas still brings something to the table. In 2008 he gained a total of 144 yards and scored a rushing touchdown. This is a game he should flourish, but with the Saints you just never know.

RB Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens – Don’t look for Rice to run all over the New England Patriots. The last time they faced each other was in the conference finals, and Rice underwhelmed. He carried the ball 21 times for 67 yards and no touchdowns. This is by no means a suggestion to sit him obviously, just some facts to keep in mind as he may very well come up short on Sunday night.

Wide Receivers 

WR Steve Johnson, Buffalo Bills – As his quarterback goes… And Fitzpatrick’s lack of production against the Browns as more than hampered Johnson’s offensive production. In his last matchup against the Browns, Stevie caught five passes for 42 yards and no touchdowns. Given his status and value on most fantasy rosters, more is required without question.

WR Mohamed Massaquoi, Cleveland Browns – As rookie QB Brandon Weeden develops, you’ll want to keep an eye on Massaquoi. However, close that eye this week against the Bills. In his last two games against Buffalo, he has averaged less than 30 yards per game and hasn’t scored in either contest.

WR Miles Austin, Dallas Cowboys – With Romo stepping up against Tampa Bay, you had to figure one of his receivers would be here. In his last two games against the Buccaneers, Austin has averaged over fifty yards receiving and a touchdown. Consistency is the driving force behind fantasy football success and you get that with Austin.

Dallas Cowboys WR Miles Austin

Dallas Cowboys WR Miles Austin

WR Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals – Yes, the Philadelphia Eagles secondary is top notch. However they have a bad habit of giving up some big plays to quality players. Fitzgerald is no stranger to torching the Eagles. In 2011 he caught seven passes for 146 yards and scored two touchdowns. Keep in mind this was with the same quarterback tandem, and the same defenders on the other side of the ball you’ll see this Sunday.

WR Wes Welker, New England Patriots – There has been much discussion regarding Welker being phased out of the Patriots offense. Don’t be silly. That said, you may be able to pull a nice “buy low” score if he continues his below-average performances against the Ravens. In the last two games against Baltimore, Welker has only averaged 53 yards receiving and hasn’t scored a single touchdown.

 Tight Ends 

TE Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers – Look for Davis to continue his hot start to the 2012 season as San Francisco faces the Detroit Lions. In 2009 he was quite a factor, with seven receptions and 96 yards and two touchdowns.

TE Owen Daniels, Houston Texans – Granted the Texans have developed into a run-first team, understandably so as they possess one of the game’s best in RB Arian Foster. However, they also possess two of the game’s better receivers in WR Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels. Hopefully QB Matt Schaub recalls the game Daniels put in the last time Houston faced the Denver Broncos in 2010. Daniels grabbed 8 passes for 73 yards and a touchdown. Pretty solid indeed.

Pittsburgh Steelers TE Heath Miller

Pittsburgh Steelers TE Heath Miller

TE Heath Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers – Never a huge yardage guy, but Miller has turned a head or two with his nose for the end zone in 2012. It will be interesting to see if he can continue that trend. History disagrees though, as in 2010 Miller caught 3 passes for 26 yards but couldn’t find pay dirt against the Oakland Raiders.

Enjoy the games!!

After the stark reality that world domination really wasn't an option, I decided to dabble in the maddening lunacy that is Fantasy Football. Beginning when weekly scores were tabulated utilizing the box scores in the sports section of the USA Today, this hobby has developed into a 18 year passion. After years contributing to the likes of Fantasy Advantage, Red Eye Sports, Pigskin Addiction and Fantasy GameDay, I am thrilled to be on board here at Fantasy Pros 911. Drop me a line - look forward to chewing the Fantasy Football fat with YOU! Follow me on Twitter @djleason

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