Daily Fantasy Baseball
September 7, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/7

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/7
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Mark Reynolds, Baltimore Orioles 1B/3B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Thursday, September 6th.

5 Good Nights

  • Mark Reynolds: 2-3, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Lorenzo Cain: 3-5, R, 2 steals
  • Kurt Suzuki: 3-5, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI
  • Tim Hudson: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 2 K’s, W
  • Jordan Zimmerman: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 9 K’s, W (not a GREAT game, but there were only five pitchers who went more than five innings yesterday, so I’ll take what I can get)

5 Bad Nights

  • Justin Germano: 4.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 2 K’s
  • David Phelps: 4.0 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 3 K’s
  • Marco Estrada: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 5 K’s
  • Billy Butler: 0-4
  • Rickie Weeks: 0-4

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Brett Lawrie has been activated and will play tonight. I’m not sure what the Blue Jays are doing here, but get him back in your lineups if you held on.
  • David Price is dealing with a sore shoulder and will miss Saturday’s start.
  • Mark Teixeira (back) will not play today (as he had expected), but is hoping to be in tomorrow’s lineup.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With three of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them!
    Mike Trout: The Angels did not play yesterday.  (.330, 108 Runs, 25 HR, 75 RBI, 44 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-5 with two runs yesterday. (.260, 79 R, 17 HR, 47 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 3-4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI yesterday. (.298, 31 R, 12 HR, 33 RBI, 2 steals on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Felix Hernandez vs. Oakland A’s

Stephen Strasburg vs. Miami Marlins

Cliff Lee vs. Colorado Rockies

3 Down

Luke Hochevar vs. Texas Rangers

Ervin Santana vs. Detroit Tigers

David Phelps at Baltimore Orioles

Throwing Darts

Homer Bailey vs. Houston Astros

A.J. Griffin at Seattle Mariners

Jonathon Niese vs. Atlanta Braves

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available – like today.

Swings

  • Evan Longoria is 8-for-19 (.421) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.
  • Jason Heyward is 5-for-14 (.357) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jonathon Niese.
  • B.J. Upton is 8-for-17 (.471) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.
Misses
  • Adrian Gonzalez is 8-for-39 (.205) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.
  • Billy Butler is 6-for-29 (.207) in his career against today’s starter, Francisco Liriano.
  • Jhonny Peralta is 3-for-20 (.150) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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