Daily Fantasy Baseball
September 4, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/4

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/4
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Kris Medlen, Atlanta Braves SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, September 3rd.

5 Good Nights

  • Kris Medlen: 9.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 12 K’s, W
  • Vernon Wells: 2-2, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI, 1 steal
  • B.J. Upton: 1-3, 2 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Mark Reynolds: 2-3, R, 2 steals
  • Ross Detwiler: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 K’s, W

5 Bad Nights

  • Tommy Milone: 3.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, K
  • Mike Fiers: 3.1 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 4 BB, 4 K’s
  • Bruce Chen: 6.0 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, BB, 5 K’s
  • Shane Victorino: 0-5
  • Matt Kemp: 0-5

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Joey Votto (knee) has been activated from the DL, but won’t play in tonight’s game.
  • Huston Street (calf) has joined the Padres, but it’s unclear when he’ll be activated. He’s been dropped in a few leagues, so it might be worth giving your waiver-wire a look if you need saves.
  • Bryce Harper is out of the Nationals’ lineup tonight (presumably because they’re facing a lefty), so make sure you get him out of your lineup too.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added him to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-4 with one run and one steal yesterday.  (.332, 108 Runs, 25 HR, 74 RBI, 43 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 1-4 with one run yesterday. (.254, 74 R, 15 HR, 45 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-4 with one run yesterday. (.286, 28 R, 10 HR, 31 RBI, 2 steals on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Johnny Cueto vs. San Diego Padres

Jon Lester at Seattle Mariners

Zack Greinke at Oakland A’s

3 Down

Jaime Garcia vs. New York Mets

Justin Masterson at Detroit Tigers

Jeremy Guthrie vs. Texas Rangers

Throwing Darts

Edwin Jackson vs. Chicago Cubs

Shaun Marcum at Miami Marlins

Kyle Kendrick at Cincinnati Reds

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available – like tonight.

Swings

  • Carlos Santana is 6-for-18 (.333) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Rick Porcello.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 10-for-22 (.455) with seven RBI in his career against today’s starter, Justin Masterson.
  • Elvis Andrus is 7-for-15 (.467) in his career against today’s starter, Jeremy Guthrie.
Misses
  • Carlos Pena is 5-for-42 (.119) in his career against today’s starter, Freddy Garcia.
  • Curtis Granderson is 2-for-10 (.200) in his career against today’s starter, James Shields.
  • Cameron Maybin is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Clayton Kershaw.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Chuck Anderson previews today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Joshua Kay brings some perspective on a few late-season call-ups.
  • Dan Stack takes a look at some Players to Watch for this week.
  • Chuck Anderson tells you why instant gratification is a dangerous thing in his latest Added and Dropped column.
  • Matthew Dewoskin revisits xFIP in his newest Leaders and Laggards updates.
  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at some catchers in his latest Position Battles article.
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to September, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s UPDATED preseason rankings.
  • Paul’s Personal Projections are out too, and you can get started here with his Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End, Defense, and Kicker outlooks.
  • There’s been an update to the ADP Report! Don’t miss Collin Hager’s latest post that’ll help you keep a step ahead of the rest of your league.
  • Dan Leason answers some big questions about some big names in his newest update.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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