Daily Fantasy Baseball
September 17, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/17

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 9/17
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Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs 1B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, September 16th.

5 Good Nights

  • Anthony Rizzo: 3-5, 3 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI
  • Pedro Alvarez: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI
  • Matt Wieters: 2-3, 3 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Matt Harrison: 8.2 IP, 6 H, ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Wily Peralta: 8.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W

5 Bad Nights

  • Chris Volstad: 4.2 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 4 BB, 3 K’s
  • Matt Moore: 3.0 IP, 3 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 4 K’s
  • Ryan Vogelsong: 3.1 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, 4 BB, 6 Ks
  • Shane Victorino: 0-6
  • Adrian Gonzalez: 0-5

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • The Reds are in no rush to rush Aroldis Chapman back after six days of shutting him down due to some shoulder fatigue. Go pick up Jonathan Broxton if you need saves.
  • Clayton Kershaw will get a second opinion on his hip tomorrow to see whether he needs surgery. If he does, he could be out until mid-May of next year. Keep an eye on this situation if you own Kershaw in a keeper league.
  • Edwin Encarnacion is expected to return to the Blue Jays’ lineup tomorrow after being scratched from yesterday’s game due to a toe injury.
  • Corey Hart (foot) is still experiencing pain in his foot and may not play much for the rest of the season. I wouldn’t run to drop him, but I wouldn’t feel bad about dropping him if you need an extra spot for a pickup.
  • After missing yesterday’s game with an ankle injury, the Tigers’ trainers believe that Austin Jackson will be able to return to the lineup today.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With three of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them!
    Mike Trout: Trout went 0-3 yesterday.  (.329, 116 Runs, 27 HR, 77 RBI, 45 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 1-4 with one run yesterday. (.263, 84 R, 19 HR, 50 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 3-5 with three runs, two home runs, and six RBI yesterday. (.300, 37 R, 14 HR, 43 RBI, 3 steals on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

R.A. Dickey vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Madison Bumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies

Cliff Lee at New York Mets

3 Down

Aaron Cook at Tampa Bay Rays

Kevin Correia at Chicago Cubs

Wade LeBlanc vs. Atlanta Braves

Throwing Darts

Jose Quintana vs. Detroit Tigers

Chris Tillman at Seattle Mariners

Alex Cobb vs. Boston Red Sox

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Carlos Gonzalez is 8-for-22 (.364) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Madison Bumgarner.
  • Carlos Lee is 12-for-35 (.343) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
  • Starlin Castro is 7-for-17 (.412) in his career against today’s starter, Kevin Correia.
Misses
  • Ike Davis is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • A.J. Pierzynski is 1-for-17 (.059) against today’s starter, Doug Fister.
  • Brandon Belt is hitless in eight career at-bats against today’s starter, Jhoulys Chacin.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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