Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 8, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/8

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/8
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Chris Johnson, Arizona Diamondbacks 3B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, August 7th.

5 Good Nights

  • Chris Johnson: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI
  • Matt Wieters: 3-6, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Allen Craig: 2-3, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Cole Hamels: 9.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 6 K’s, W
  • James Shields: 8.0 IP, 2 H, ER, 6 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Brandon Belt, Miguel Cabrera, J.J. Hardy, Carlos Quentin, Buster Posey, Derek Norris, Danny Espinosa, Kyle Seager, Will Middlebrooks, Josh Rutledge, Eric Chavez, Aramis Ramirez, Jonny Gomes, Stephen Drew, Billy Butler, Erick Aybar, Miguel Montero, Chase Headley, Paul Goldschmidt, Travis Snider, Nick Markakis, Mike Fiers, Bartolo Colon, Ross Detwiler, Johnny Cueto, Mike Minor, Jordan Lyles, Ryan Dempster, Bruce Chen, Barry Zito, Ross Ohlendorf, Corey Kluber, Patrick Corbin

5 Bad Nights

  • Phil Hughes: 4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 3 K’s
  • J.A.  Happ: 4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, BB, 5 K’s
  • Zach Britton: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 K’s
  • Adrian Beltre: 0-5
  • Curtis Granderson: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Ramon Hernandez, Adam LaRoche, Aaron Hill, Ryan Zimmerman, Shin-Soo Choo, Justin Maxwell, Chris Davis, Michael Saunders, Donovan Solano, Marwin Gonzalez, Stephen Lombardozzi, Brooks Raley, Travis Blackley, Chris Perez, Samuel Deduno, Jonathon Niese, Lance Lynn, Blake Beavan, C.J. Wilson

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Giancarlo Stanton was activated from the disabled list and is safe to insert in your lineups (insert applause here).
  • Joey Votto won’t return to the Reds until they’re back from their current road trip – which would make August 14th the first date that Votto would be eligible to return.
  • Jose Bautista will have another MRI on his wrist to determine what’s causing the ongoing discomfort, and I still don’t think we’ll see him again in 2012.
  • David Ortiz (achilles) is targeting a Sunday return to the Red Sox’ lineup.
  • Jeremy Affeldt picked up the save for the Giants last night, and looks to be the leader in the clubhouse for saves in their new closer-by-committee.
  • Jim Henderson came in for the save for the Brewers last night due to John Axford having pitched more than an innning the night before. Axford has been pretty horrendous as of late, however, so those of you in desperate need of saves might want to grab Henderson in case he gets some save opportunities.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-5 with one run, one home run, and one RBI yesterday.  (.346, 87 Runs, 20 HR, 60 RBI, 36 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-4 yesterday. (.254, 58 R, 10 HR, 30 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-4 yesterday. (.292, 16 R, 9 HR, 23 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Zack Greinke at Oakland A’s

Gio Gonzalez at Houston Astros

Chad Billingsley vs. Colorado Rockies

3 Down

Josh Beckett vs. Texas Rangers

Matt Harrison at Boston Red Sox

Justin Masterson vs. Minnesota Twins

Throwing Darts

Dan Straily vs. Los Angeles Angels

Clayton Richard vs. Chicago Cubs

Jeff Samardzija at San Diego Padres

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Miguel Caberera is 10-for-23 (.435) with two home runs and 12 RBI in his career against today’s starter, C.C. Sabathia.
  • Ryan Howard is 19-for-58 (.328) with six home runs in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
  • Jay Bruce is 9-for-22 (.409) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Randy Wolf.
Misses
  • Nelson Cruz is 1-for-14 (.071) in his career against today’s starter, Josh Beckett.
  • Alexei Ramirez is 1-for-19 (.053) in his career against today’s starter, Jeremy Guthrie.
  • Jose Reyes is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Chris Young.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Collin Hager takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Albert Lang’s back with his Hot N Cold Fantasy Baseball All-Stars to help you identify who’s hot and who’s not.
  • There’s been an update to the Closer Identifier Algorithm Results…make sure you don’t miss Patrick DiCaprio’s latest!
  • Chuck Anderson also examines this week’s Added and Dropped list and gives some extra insight into the Royal’s closer situation.
  • Dan Stack’s looking ahead to help you identify the Players to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin revisits hitter’s BABIP in this week’s Leaders and Laggards.
  • We’re almost a week past the trade deadline, so this is a great time for Chuck Anderson to take a look at how the fallout of the moves have impacted some of our favorite fantasy baseball stars.
  • Make sure you check out Patrick DiCaprio and the crew on tonight’s episode of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable Show.
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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