Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 7, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/7

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/7
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Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, August 6th.

5 Good Nights

  • Justin Verlander: 8.0 IP, 8 H, 0 ER, 14 K’s, W
  • Jered Weaver: 9.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 9 K’s, W
  • Justin Morneau: 3-5, 3 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Mike Trout: 2-3, RBI, 3 steals
  • Jon Jay: 4-4, R, 2 RBI

Honorable Mention: Marwin Gonzalez, Carl Crawford, Joe Mauer, Adrian Gonzalez, Ryan Doumit, Martin Maldonado, Nick Markakis, Ben Revere, Jacoby Ellsbury, Jason Vargas, Chris Sale, Ben Sheets, Chris Tillman, Aaron Cook, Erik Bedard, Chris Capuano, Yovani Gallardo, Scott Diamond, Wade Miley, Travis Wood, Jake Westbrook, Eric Stults, Edwin Jackson

5 Bad Nights

  • Ivan Nova: 5.1 IP, 11 H, 7 ER, 5 K’s
  • Zach McAllister: 1.2 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K’s
  • Vance Worley: 3.2 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K’s
  • Brandon Phillips: 0-5
  • Curtis Granderson: 0-5, R

Dishonorable Mention:  Daniel Descalso, J.D. Martinez, Tsuyoshi Nishioka, Francisco Rodriguez, Matt Cain, Bronson Arroyo, Josh Tomlin, Yu Darvish

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Evan Longoria has been activated from the disabled list and will start for the Rays tonight.
  • Ian Desmond (oblique) took part in “baseball activities” yesterday, but still remains weeks away from returning.
  • Alex Rodriguez‘s hand is reportedly healing properly and the Yankees’ third baseman is on-target for a mid-September return to the team.
  • Matt Garza was placed on the DL with an elbow injury an is out indefinitely. With the Cubs where they are in the standings, I’d be surprised to see Garza pitch again this season.
  • Pablo Sandoval (hamstring) is about a week away from returning, according to Giants manager Bruce Bochy.
  • Brandon McCarthy (shoulder) will throw one more bullpen session before being activated from the DL.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-3 with one RBI and three steals yesterday.  (.348, 86 Runs, 19 HR, 59 RBI, 36 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-4 with one run yesterday. (.257, 58 R, 10 HR, 30 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-4 yesterday. (.301, 16 R, 9 HR, 23 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

C.J. Wilson at Oakland A’s

Cole Hamels vs. Atlanta Braves

Jake Peavy vs. Kansas City Royals

3 Down

Jon Lester vs. Texas Rangers

Ryan Dempster at Boston Red Sox

Phil Hughes at Detroit Tigers

Throwing Darts

Ross Detwiler at Houston Astros

Jonathon Niese vs. Miami Marlins

Mike Minor at Philadelphia Phillies

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Billy Butler is 9-for-22 (.409) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jake Peavy.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 7-for-17 (.412) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Phil Hughes.
  • Mike Napoli is 6-for-10 (.600) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
Misses
  • Carlos Beltran is 9-for-41 (.220) in his career against today’s starter, Barry Zito.
  • Dan Uggla is 8-for-55 (.145) in his career against today’s starter, Cole Hamels.
  • Derek Jeter is hitless in his career (12 at-bats) against today’s starter, Rick Porcello.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Chuck Anderson also examines this week’s Added and Dropped list and gives some extra insight into the Royal’s closer situation.
  • Dan Stack’s looking ahead to help you identify the Players to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin revisits hitter’s BABIP in this week’s Leaders and Laggards.
  • We’re almost a week past the trade deadline, so this is a great time for Chuck Anderson to take a look at how the fallout of the moves have impacted some of our favorite fantasy baseball stars.
  • Lenny Melnick is already thinking about next year (and a whole lot more fantasy baseball news) on the latest edition of his award-winning podcast.
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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