Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 6, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/6

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/6
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Omar Infante, Detroit Tigers 2B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, August 5th.

5 Good Nights

  • Omar Infante: 4-6, 3 R, HR, 3 RBI
  • Neil Walker: 3-5, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Asdrubal Cabrera: 2-6, 2 R, 2 steals
  • David Price: 8.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s
  • Miguel Gonzalez: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 4 K’s

Honorable Mention: Raul Ibanez, Austin Jackson, Travis Hafner, Adrian Gonzalez, Miguel Cabrera, Hunter Pence, Josh Reddick, Anthony Rizzo, Carlos Quentin, Edwin Encarnacion, Drew Stubbs, Ezequiel Cabrera, David Ross, A.J. Burnett, Kyle Lohse, Franklin Morales, Luke Hochevar, Dan Haren, Joe Blanton, Tim Lincecum, Marco Estrada, Stephen Strasburg, Kris Medlen, Freddy Garcia, Francisco Liriano

5 Bad Nights

  • Chris Perez: 0.2 IP, 3 H, 5 ER, 2 BB
  • Derek Holland: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 7 K’s
  • Matt Harvey: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, BB, 5 K’s
  • Jason Kipnis: 0-6
  • Shane Victorino: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  David Murphy, Desmond Jennings, Nick Markakis, Tommy Milone, Nick Blackburn, Max Scherzer, Ricky Nolasco, Aaron Laffey

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • There is BAD news coming out of Toronto concerning Jose Bautista (wrist). The latest reports are that the Blue Jays are “hoping he will be able to return before the end of the season” after suffering a setback in his rehab. If the Blue Jays (current five games back in the wild card standings) don’t start winning some games soon, it’s looking like we may not see Bautista until 2013.
  • David Ortiz (heel) might receive an injection to reduce inflammation today, and he doesn’t think he’ll return to the Red Sox’ lineup before next Wednesday at the earliest.
  • As you’ll see below, Chris Sale will start against the Royals today and Jake Peavy will have his start moved to tomorrow.
  • Joey Votto is travelling with the Reds and there are reports that the team is hoping he can return within the next 10-14 days.
  • After leaving last night’s game with a shoulder injury, Elvis Andrus looks to be fine and could even play against the Red Sox today.
  • Johan Santana (ankle) is expected to be activated Saturday to face the Atlanta Braves.
  • Carlos Ruiz will be out until mid-September after being diagnosed with plantar fasciitis in his left foot.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 0-3 with one RBI yesterday.  (.346, 86 Runs, 19 HR, 58 RBI, 33 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-4 yesterday. (.260, 57 R, 10 HR, 30 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-4 with one run, one home run, and three RBI yesterday. (.310, 16 R, 9 HR, 23 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Jered Weaver at Oakland A’s

Chris Sale vs. Kansas City Royals

Justin Verlander vs. New York Yankees

3 Down

Erik Bedard vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Yu Darvish at Boston Red Sox

Bronson Arroyo at Milwaukee Brewers

Throwing Darts

Edwin Jackson at Houston Astros

Scott Diamond at Cleveland Indians

Jason Vargas at Baltimore Orioles

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Jay Bruce is 12-for-26 (.462) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Yovani Gallardo.
  • Ryan Ludwick is 6-for-17 (.353) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Yovani Gallardo.
  • Ichiro Suzuki is 11-for-32 (.344) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
Misses
  • Mark Teixeira is 3-for-27 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Aramis Ramirez is 12-for-63 (.190) in his career against today’s starter, Bronson Arroyo.
  • Chase Utley is 2-for-16 (.125) in his career against today’s starter, Ben Sheets.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Patrick DiCaprio takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Chuck Anderson examines this week’s Added and Dropped list and gives some extra insight into the Royal’s closer situation.
  • Dan Stack’s looking ahead to help you identify the Players to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin revisits hitter’s BABIP in this week’s Leaders and Laggards.
  • We’re almost a week past the trade deadline, so this is a great time for Chuck Anderson to take a look at how the fallout of the moves have impacted some of our favorite fantasy baseball stars.
  • Lenny Melnick is already thinking about next year (and a whole lot more fantasy baseball news) on the latest edition of his award-winning podcast.
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to August, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • WWPGD? (What Would Paul Greco Do?) You don’t have to wonder anymore, as Paul gives you his personal favorites (and least favorites) – starting with Gotta Have QBs and Dump On QBs.
  • I hope you enjoyed Paul’s QB picks, because he just updated his personal Gotta Have RBs!
  • Paul’s Personal Projections are out! Get started here with his Quarterback and Running Back projections.
  • Paul also broke out his calculator so he could give you a whole bunch of Stats You Need to Know.
  • Collin Hager’s got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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