Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 3, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/3

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/3
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Ian Kinsler, Texas Rangers 2B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Wednesday, August 2nd.

5 Good Nights

  • Ian Kinsler: 3-5, 4 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Alex Gordon: 2-5, R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Carlos Santana: 2-5, R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Bartolo Colon: 8.0 IP, 7 H, 0 ER, 3 K’s, W
  • Ross Detwiler: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 3 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Ronny Cedeno, Jarrod Dyson, Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton, Eric Hosmer, Todd Frazier, Adam LaRoche, Brian Dozier, Jason Heyward, Michael Young, Jay Bruce, Kendrys Morales, Samuel Deduno, Jon Lester, Chris Young, Cole Hamels, Lance Lynn, Alex White

5 Bad Nights

  • Ross Ohlendorf: 1.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 3 K’s
  • Nate Eovaldi: 2.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, BB, K
  • Ryan Dempster: 4.2 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 3 BB, 6 K’s
  • Coco Crisp: 0-5
  • Xavier Paul: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Rob Johnson, Bruce Chen, Barry Zito, Alfredo Aceves, C.J. Wilson, Corey Kluber

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Nationals Manager, Davey Johnson, made some cryptic comments yesterday about potentially shutting-down Stephen Strasburg once he hits 160 innings. While this anvil still may never drop, it might be smart to see what you can get for the Nats’ fireballer.
  • Yadier Molina missed last night’s game with a sore thumb, and is looking likely to miss tonight’s game against Milwaukee, as well.
  • The Yankees are going to evaluate Mark Teixeira‘s wrist before tonight’s game before they make a decision on his availability, so there’s a chance he may return to the lineup tonight.
  • Giancarlo Stanton went 2-5 with a three-run homer in his first rehab game last night, and things are still looking good for his targeted Tuesday return to the Marlins’ lineup.
  • Trevor Plouffe (thumb) didn’t travel with the team this weekend and despite reports saying he might return to the lineup Sunday, it looks like he won’t be back until at least Monday.
  • Pablo Sandoval is making progress in his rehab from a hamstring injury, and is targeting an August 9th return to the Giants’ lineup.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-4 with two runs and two steals yesterday.  (.347, 83 Runs, 18 HR, 55 RBI, 33 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-4 yesterday. (.258, 54 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: The Cubs didn’t play yesterday. (.316, 15 R, 8 HR, 20 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Gio Gonzalez vs. Miami Marlins

C.C. Sabathia vs. Seattle Mariners

R.A. Dickey at San Diego Padres

3 Down

Wandy Rodriguez at Cincinnati Reds

Ryan Vogelsong at Colorado Rockies

Josh Johnson at Washington Nationals

Throwing Darts

Felix Doubront vs. Minnesota Twins

Chad Billingsley vs. Chicago Cubs

Dan Straily vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • A.J. Pierzynski is 20-for-49 (.408) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Zack Greinke.
  • Billy Butler is 7-for-10 (.700) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Matt Harrison.
  • Ichiro Suzuki is 32-for-81 (.395) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Kevin Millwood.
Misses
  • Paul Konerko is 9-for-62 (.145) in his career against today’s starter, Zack Greinke.
  • Carlos Gonzalez is 1-for-10 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Ryan Vogelsong.
  • Aaron Hill is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to August, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • WWPGD? (What Would Paul Greco Do?) You don’t have to wonder anymore, as Paul gives you his personal favorites (and least favorites) – starting with Gotta Have QBs and Dump On QBs.
  • I hope you enjoyed Paul’s QB picks, because he just updated his personal Gotta Have RBs!
  • Dan Stack gives out the second edition of the Blair Thomas Award to a few of this year’s running back busts.
  • Dan’s also got some Impact Wide Receivers for you in his latest update.
  • Mid-Tier QB’s can go a long way towards helping you win your league, and Collin Hager does the heavy-lifting for you in this week’s Impact Quarterbacks.
  • Collin’s also got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
  • Steve DeAngelo is taking a look at impact running backs, and Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, and Darren Sproles are the subjects of his latest post.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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