Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 16, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/16

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/16
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Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Wednesday, August 15th.

5 Good Nights

  • Felix Hernandez: 9.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 12 K’s, W
  • David DeJesus: 4-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Josh Hamilton: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Starlin Castro: 3-4, 2 R, HR 2 RBI
  • Max Scherzer: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 10 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Stephen Lombardozzi,  Todd Frazier, Alcides Escobar, Dewayne Wise, Jayson Werth, Adam Dunn, Shin-Soo Choo, Dan Uggla, Kelly Johnson, Matt Kemp, Nyjer Morgan, Chris Nelson, Dayan Viciedo, Mike Trout, Greg Dobbs, Mike Leake, Clayton Kershaw, Roy Halladay, Ervin Santana, Mark Buehrle, Paul Maholm, Jeremy Hellickson, Will Smith, Freddy Garcia, Brandon McCarthy, Justin Germano, Adam Wainwright, Miguel Gonzalez, Stephen Strasburg, Aaron Cook

5 Bad Nights

  • Edinson Volquez: 3.2 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s
  • Tim Lincecum: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, BB, 5 K’s
  • Ricky Romero: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s
  • Angel Pagan: 0-5
  • Colby Rasmus: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Austin Jackson, Anthony Rizzo, Bryce Harper, Jim Henderson, Bud Norris, Santiago Casilla, Guillermo Moscoso, Wandy Rodriguez, R.A. Dickey, Roberto “Fausto Carmona” Hernandez, Joe Saunders, Mark Rogers

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • I mentioned this yesterday, but I’ll throw it in here again in case you missed it: Melky Cabrera has been suspended for 50 games (effective immediately) after testing positive for performance-enhancing testosterone and can be dropped en masse in non-keeper leagues.
  • Robinson Cano will miss the Yankees game this afternoon with a neck injury that isn’t considered serious.
  • Lineups haven’t been released for tonight’s games as of writing this, but Michael Cuddyer is supposed to return to the Rockies’ lineup tonight.
  • Neil Walker dislocated his finger yesterday and will hope to avoid the DL, but he will more than likely miss a game or two in the meantime.
  • Paul Konerko (concussion) will reportedly return to the White Sox’ lineup tomorrow after spending the past week on the 7-day DL.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added him to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: The Trout went 1-4 with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one steal yesterday.  (.340, 92 Runs, 22 HR, 66 RBI, 38 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-5 yesterday. (.245, 61 R, 10 HR, 32 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-5 yesterday. (.296, 20 R, 9 HR, 25 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Kris Medlen vs. San Diego Padres

David Price at Los Angeles Angels

Cliff Lee at Milwaukee Brewers

3 Down

Ricky Nolasco at Colorado Rockies

Francisco Liriano at Toronto Blue Jays

Derer  Holland at New York Yankees

Throwing Darts

Trevor Cahill at St. Louis Cardinals (the Cards are good, but Cahill’s road splits are fantastic this year)

Joe Blanton at Pittsburgh Pirates

Marco Estrada vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available – like today.

Swings

  • Derek Jeter is 9-for-16 (.563) in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.
  • J.J. Hardy is 4-for-10 (.400) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.
  • Ryan Braun is 6-for-13 (.462) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
Misses
  • Andrew McCutchen is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
  • Justin Upton is 2-for-10 (.200) in his career against today’s starter, Kyle Lohse.
  • Matt Joyce is hitless in 13 career at-bats against today’s starter, Dan Haren.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to August, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s UPDATED preseason rankings.
  • Paul’s Personal Projections are out too, and you can get started here with his Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End, Defense, and Kicker outlooks.
  • Steve DeAngelo identifies some impact running backs to keep an eye on in his latest post.
  • Collin Hager takes a look at elite quarterbacks in his latest Impact Player post.
  • Dan Leason just saved everyone a lot of work and identified this year’s Bounce-Back Players for you.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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