Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 15, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/15

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/15
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Melky Cabrera, San Francisco Giants OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, August 14th.

5 Good Nights

  • Mark Reynolds: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Albert Pujols: 2-4, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Rajai Davis: 3-4, R, steals
  • Hiroki Kuroda: 9.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Madison Bumgarner: 9.0 IP, 5 H, ER, 6 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Brandon Belt, Fernando Martinez, Brett Wallace, Luis Cruz, Jay Bruce, Martin Prado, Josh Willingham, Omar Infante, Michael Brantley, Carlos Gonzalez, Wilin Rosario, Scott Moore, Hanley Ramirez, Eric Young Jr., Martin Maldonado, Chad Billingsley, Doug Fister, Jeremy Guthrie, Josh Johnson, Lucas Harrell, Kevin Millwood, Mat Latos, Kyle Kendrick, Matt Moore, Henderson Alvarez, Tim Hudson, Jose Quintana, Joe Kelly, Matt Harrison, Tyler Chatwood, Wei-Yin Chen, Chris Young, 

5 Bad Nights

  • Ubaldo Jimenez: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 4 K’s
  • Randy Wolf: 5.0 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, BB, K
  • Josh Beckett: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 2 K’s
  • Rickie Weeks: 0-5
  • Ryan Braun: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Asdrubal Cabrera, Drew Storen, Rex Brothers, Alexi Ogando, Jarrod Parker, Kevin Correia, Chris Volstad, Brian Duensing, Clayton Richard

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Melky Caberera was just hit with a 50-game suspension after testing positive for testosterone. He will not appeal the suspension and there’s less than 50 games left in the season, which means there’s the population of Drop City just increased by one.
  • Cubs’ manager Dale Sveum told reporters that he’d be surprised to see Matt Garza pitch again this season. If you’re still hanging onto Garza, it’s time to increase the aforementioned Drop City population by two.
  • Michael Cuddyer will play in one last rehab game today and is expected to be activated in time for a return to the lineup tomorrow night.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added him to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: The Trout went 2-5 with two runs yesterday.  (.341, 91 Runs, 21 HR, 65 RBI, 37 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-3 yesterday. (.249, 61 R, 10 HR, 32 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-4 yesterday. (.305, 20 R, 9 HR, 25 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Clayton Kershaw at Pittsburgh Pirates

Felix Hernandez vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Stephen Strasburg at San Francisco Giants

3 Down

Ricky Romero vs. Chicago White Sox

Joe Saunders at St. Louis Cardinals

Ervin Santana vs. Cleveland Indians

Throwing Darts

Paul Maholm vs. San Diego Padres

Brandon McCarthy at Kansas City Royals

Bud Norris at Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Justin Morneau is 4-for-7 (.571) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Max Scherzer.
  • Jose Reyes is 12-for-32 (.375) with five extra-base hits in his career against today’s starter, Roy Halladay.
  • Hanley Ramirez is 9-for-22 (.484) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Wandy Rodriguez.
Misses
  • B.J. Upton is 3-for-28 (.107) in his career against today’s starter, Felix Hernandez.
  • Alexei Ramirez is 1-for-14 (.071) in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Romero.
  • Asdrubal Cabrera is 3-for-25 (.120) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to August, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s UPDATED preseason rankings.
  • Paul’s Personal Projections are out too, and you can get started here with his Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End, Defense, and Kicker outlooks.
  • Steve DeAngelo identifies some impact running backs to keep an eye on in his latest post.
  • Collin Hager takes a look at elite quarterbacks in his latest Impact Player post.
  • Dan Leason just saved everyone a lot of work and identified this year’s Bounce-Back Players for you.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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