Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 14, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/14

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/14
Print Friendly

Adam Dunn, Chicago White Sox DH

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

SPECIAL UPDATE: Hang out with Paul Greco and some of the other FantasyPros911 crew tonight on Google+ at 9 PM (Eastern) to talk some Fantasy Football!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, August 13th.

5 Good Nights

  • Adam Dunn: 3-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Darin Mastroianni: 3-5, R, HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Nick Swisher: 2-4, R, HR, 5 RBI
  • Cole Hamels: 9.0 IP, 7 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Jeff Samardzija: 7.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 11 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Garrett Jones, Danny Espinosa, Roger Bernadina, Ryan Doumit, Shane Victorino, Rickie Weeks, Kurt Suzuki, Brent Lillibridge, Sam Fuld, Darwin Barney, Carlos Gomez, Anthony Rizzo, D.J. LeMahieu, Ryan Zimmerman, Eric Stults, Jake Peavy, Carlos Villanueva, Alex Cobb, Samuel Deduno, C.J. Wilson, Gio Gonzalez, Aaron Harang, Justin Masterson

5 Bad Nights

  • Mike Fiers: 2.0 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, K
  • Ryan Vogelsong: 2.2 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s
  • Ryan Dempster: 6.0 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 4 K’s
  • Alex Rios: 0-5
  • Shin-Soo Choo: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Alejandro De Aza, Rajai Davis, Neil Walker, Norichika Aoki, Armando Galarraga, Anibal Sanchez, Blake Beavan

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • I still don’t understand why the San Diego Padres have an aversion to using Luke Gregerson as their closer, but Dale Thayer got the first save opportunity since Huston Street hit the DL and looks to be the guy to add here.
  • Jason Kipnis (neck) resumed “baseball activities” yesterday and should be in the lineup when the Indians play the Angels tonight.
  • Jose Bautista (wrist) reportedly felt good after hitting off a tee yesterday, and while he still has no timetable for his return, this is about as good news as we can expect right now.
  • Paul Konerko (concussion) has been cleared to resume baseball activities and could be activated from the 7-day DL as soon as Friday.
  • Brett Lawrie (ribs) hopes to begin playing in rehab games this week towards the goal of an August 19th return to the lineup.
  • Michael Cuddyer (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment tonight and could rejoin the Rockies’ lineup on Thursday.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: The Trout went 1-3 with one run and one steal yesterday.  (.340, 89 Runs, 21 HR, 65 RBI, 37 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-6 with two runs yesterday. (.251, 61 R, 10 HR, 32 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 4-5 with one run and one RBI yesterday. (.306, 20 R, 9 HR, 25 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Madison Bumgarner vs. Washington Nationals

Jordan Zimmerman at San Francisco Giants

Tim Hudson vs. San Diego Padres

3 Down

Matt Harrison at New York Yankees

Ubaldo Jimenez at Los Angeles Angels

Ian Kennedy at St. Louis Cardinals

Throwing Darts

Jarrod Parker at Kansas City Royals

Clayton Richard at Atlanta Braves

Lucas Harrell at Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available – like today.

Swings

  • Carlos Beltran is 6-for-17 (.353) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Ian Kennedy.
  • Shane Victorino is 6-for-11 (.545) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Kevin Correia.
  • Asdrubal Cabrera is 15-for-31 (.484) in his career against today’s starter, Zack Greinke.
Misses
  • Joe Mauer is 2-for-16 (.125) in his career against today’s starter, Doug Fister.
  • Mark Teixeira is 1-for-10 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Matt Harrison.
  • Matt Joyce is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Kevin Millwood.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Chuck Anderson previews today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Matthew Dewoskin revisits HR:FB Ratio in his latest Leaders and Laggards post.
  • There’s been an update to the Closer Identified Algorithm Results! Make sure you don’t miss Patrick DiCaprio’s latest.
  • Chuck Anderson helps you identify the next Manny Machado in his latest Added and Dropped post.
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

Latest posts by Nick Raducanu (Posts)

Share

You must be logged in to post a comment.