Daily Fantasy Baseball
August 11, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/11

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 8/11
Print Friendly

Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles SS

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Friday, August 10th.

5 Good Nights

  • Manny Machado: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Chase Headley: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI
  • Paul Maholm: 9.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Roy Halladay: 8.0 IP, 2 H, ER, 8 K’s, W
  • Clay Buchholz: 8.0 IP, 2 H, ER, 6 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Stephen Lombardozzi, Ryan Ludwick, Garrett Jones, Desmond Jennings, Ichiro Suzuki, Todd Frazier, Matt Joyce, Alfonso Soriano, Jose Molina, Prince Fielder, Travis Snider, John Jaso, Anthony Gose, Miguel Gonzalez, Kyle Lohse, Tim Lincecum, Ricky Romero, Mark Rogers, Bud Norris, Clayton Kershaw, Tyler Chatwood, Matt Harvey, Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Chris Seddon, Freddy Garcia

5 Bad Nights

  • Edinson Volquez: 3.1 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 4 BB, 3 K’s
  • James McDonald: 4.1 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, BB, 4 K’s
  • Luke Hochevar: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 2 BB, 2 K’s
  • Neil Walker: 0-5
  • Ben Zobrist: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention:  Josh Reddick, John Axford, Jonathan Broxton, Justin Germano, Scott Feldman, Homer Bailey, Trevor Cahill, Mark Buehrle, Jeremy Hellickson, Ervin Santana

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Paul Konerko (concussion) was placed on the 7-day DL and could miss more than the required week. Make sure you get him out of your lineups.
  • Will Middlebrooks suffered a broken wrist after being hit by a pitch last night. He’ll more than likely miss the rest of the season, so it’s time to find a replacement if you have him on your roster.
  • Trevor Plouffe (thumb) will begin a two-game rehab assignment at Triple-A Rochester today and will return to the Twins’ lineup on Monday or Tuesday as long as he doesn’t experience any setbacks.
  • Jon Axford blew another save yesterday, and Jim Henderson will more than likely get the bulk of the save opportunities in Milwaukee for the rest of the season (or at least until he falters too).
  • Huston Street left last night’s game with a strained calf and could require a stint on the DL. If he does land on the disabled list, Luke Gregerson and Dale Thayer could see some save chances. I’m not sure this is a great situation to invest in, but I’m grabbing Gregerson on teams where I really need saves.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: The Trout went 1-3 with one run, one home run, and 5 RBI yesterday.  (.345, 88 Runs, 21 HR, 65 RBI, 36 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-2 with two RBI yesterday. (.250, 59 R, 10 HR, 32 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-3 with one run yesterday. (.299, 19 R, 9 HR, 24 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Matt Cain vs. Colorado Rockies

David Price at Minnesota Twins

Justin Verlander at Texas Rangers

3 Down

Jake Westbrook at Philadelphia Phillies

Edwin Jackson at Arizona Diamondbacks

Drew Pomeranz at San Francisco Giants

Throwing Darts

Kris Medlen at New York Mets

Chris Tillman vs. Kansas City Royals

Marco Estrada at Houston Astros

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available – like today.

Swings

  • Delmon Young is 6-for-12 (.308) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.
  • Rafael Furcal is 3-for-7 (.420) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Neil Walker is 5-for-7 (.714) in his career against today’s starter, Jason Marquis.
Misses
  • Carlos Beltran is 2-for-15 (.133) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Shane Victorino is 6-for-35 (.171) in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Nolasco.
  • Jose Reyes is 6-for-31 (.194) in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to August, which means it’s officially fantasy football season! Before you start drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s UPDATED preseason rankings.
  • WWPGD? (What Would Paul Greco Do?) You don’t have to wonder anymore, as Paul gives you his personal favorites (and least favorites) – starting with Gotta Have QBs and Dump On QBs.
  • I hope you enjoyed Paul’s QB picks, because he just updated his personal Gotta Have RBs and his Dump on RBs!
  • Paul’s Personal Projections are out! Get started here with his Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End, Defense, and Kicker projections.
  • Paul also broke out his calculator so he could give you a whole bunch of Stats You Need to Know.
  • Collin Hager’s got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
  • Collin also took a look at some Impact Quarterbacks and identified three that can be frustrating to own.
  • Dan Stack hands some more Blair Thomas Awards (for Running Back Busts). Guess who the lucky winners are…
  • Dan also has an in-depth look at Impact Wide Receivers in the latest edition of that series.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

Latest posts by Nick Raducanu (Posts)

Share

You must be logged in to post a comment.