Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 8, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/8

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/8
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Andruw Jones, New York Yankees OF/DH

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge. Not sure how to play? Don’t worry, because Dan Stack’s got you covered with a quick tutorial and some tips for this week.

Looking Back

Before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify the Studs and Duds from Saturday, July 7th.

5 Good Nights

  • Andruw Jones: 3-9, 3 R, 3 HR, 3 RBI
  • Jered Weaver: 8.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • James McDonald: 7.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 10 K’s, W
  • Pedro Ciriaco: 4-9, 2 R, 4 RBI, 1 steal
  • Gavin Floyd: 7.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Drew Stubbs, Martin Prado, Mark Teixeira, Nick Swisher, Billy Butler, Kyle Seager, Mike Moustakas, Adrian Beltre, Alcides Escobar, Jason Vargas, Dillon Gee, Kyle Lohse, Tommy Hanson, Trevor Cahill, Ryan Vogelsong, Jeff Samardzija, Freddy Garcia, Homer Baily, Gio Gonzalez, Ricky Romero, Wandy Rodriguez, Ubaldo Jimenez

5 Bad Nights

  • Franklin Morales: 3.1 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 2 BB’s, 2 K’s
  • Jose Valverde: 1.0 IP, 2 H, 3 ER, 2 BB’s, K
  • Matt Moore: 4.2 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 2 BB’s, 3 K’s
  • Jarrod Saltalamacchia: 0-5
  • Dustin Ackley: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Alex Rodriguez, Bruce Chen, Jarrod Parker, Clayton Richard, Joe Blanton, Doug Fister, Chad Billingsley, Carlos Zambrano, Phil Hughes, Samuel Deduno, Jeff Francis, 

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Giancarlo Stanton will miss the next four to six weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery. Ugh…
  • Zack Greinke was ejected in the first inning of yesterday’s game and could potentially start today, so make sure you leave him in your lineup just in case he does.
  • Brett Lawrie left yesterday’s game with back tightness and is questionable for today’s game. I’d play it safe and find another option at third for daily leagues today.
  • Carl Crawford (elbow) has been pulled from his rehab assignment and will be shut down for five days after suffering a groin strain. He’s still worth keeping on your DL, but I think we need to lower our expectations yet again.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 1-4 with one run yesterday. (.283, 43 R, 8 HR, 25 RBI, 8 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 0-3 with one run, two RBI, and 3 steals yesterday.  (.343, 56 Runs, 11 HR, 39 RBI, 26 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-4 yesterday. (.386, 7 R, 4 HR, 9 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer will face the Los Angeles Dodgers as he makes his third start of the season today. (0-1, 9.82 ERA, 2.45 WHIP, 7 K’s on the season)

Looking Ahead

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s Tuesdays recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Felix Hernandez at Oakland A’s

Chris Sale vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Johnny Cueto at San Diego Padres

3 Down

Anibal Sanchez at St. Louis Cardinals

Jon Lester vs. New York Yankees

Ivan Nova at Boston Red Sox

Throwing Darts

Wei-Yin Chen at Los Angeles Angels

Trevor Bauer vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Bartolo Colon vs. Seattle Mariners

Today’s Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 12-15 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

  • Matt Holliday is 7-for-14 (.500) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Anibal Sanchez.
  • Carlos Beltran is 7-for-18 (.589) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Anibal Sanchez.
  • Derek Jeter  is 17-for-49  (.347) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
  • Jimmy Rollins is 6-for-32 (.188) in his career against today’s starter, Jair Jurrjens.
  • Melky Cabrera is 2-for-21 (.095) in his career against today’s starter, A.J. Burnett.
  • Coco Crisp is 8-for-42 (.190) in his career against today’s starter, Felix Hernandez.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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