Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 5, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/5

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/5
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Miguel Cabrera, Detroit Tigers 3B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge. Not sure how to play? Don’t worry, because Dan Stack’s got you covered with a quick tutorial and some tips for this week.

Looking Back

Before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify the Studs and Duds from Wednesday, July 4th.

5 Good Nights

  • Miguel Cabrera: 3-3, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Chris Tillman: 8.1 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 7 K’s, W
  • Justin Verlander: 9.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 7 K’s, W
  • Pablo Sandoval: 3-4, R, HR, 3 RBI
  • Ryan Zimmerman: 2-5, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI

Honorable Mention: Carlos Pena, Justin Ruggiano, Jhonatan Solano, Casey Kotchman, Jason Kubel, Michael Brantley, Logan Morrison, Dee Gordon, Johnny Damon, Chris Denorfia, Josh Hamilton, Brandon Moss, Cliff Lee, Aaron Harang, David Price, Mike Leake, Jeremy Guthrie, Adam Wainwright, Carlos Villanueva, Paul Maholm, A.J. Griffin

5 Bad Nights

  • Ervin Santana: 1.1 IP, 6 H, 8 ER, 3 BB’s, 0 K’s
  • Madison Bumgarner: 5.0 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, BB , 7 K’s
  • Josh Johnson: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB’s, 2 K’s
  • Jose Reyes: 0-5
  • Justin Upton: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Cameron Maybin, Dexter Fowler, Elvis Andrus, Kyle Farnsworth, Jonny Venters, Joel Hanrahan, John Axford, Cole De Vries, Hector Noesi, Randy Wolf, Edwin Jackson, Dallas Keuchel, Dylan Axelrod, Scott Feldman, Jason Marquis, Ian Kennedy

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Dee Gordon suffered a dislocated thumb in yesterday’s game against Cincinnati. The Dodgers haven’t set a timetable yet, but I’d be surprised if we see the Major League steals leader back before the All-Star break.
  • Carlos Lee was traded to the Marlins yesterday, and while a better lineup around him might increase his fantasy potential a little bit…I’m still not sure this really means much for fantasy owners. Lee is getting by on name-brand recognition and is barely worth owning in 10-team mixed leagues.
  • Andre Ethier (oblique) was officially placed on the 15-day DL (retroactive to June 28th) by the Dodgers yesterday and is targeting a post All-Star break return to the lineup.
  • Yu Darvish was scheduled to start Friday, but will skip his last start before the All-Star break to get some extra rest (there is no report of an injury, so breathe easy Darvish owners).
  • Ryan Dempster (lat) was originally scheduled to return after the All-Star break, but he threw a full bullpen session yesterday and is now hoping to start this Saturday’s game against the Mets.
  • Colby Lewis (forearm) is scheduled to throw from in front of the mound today, and is still targeting a return to the Rangers’ rotation right after the All-Star break.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-4 with two runs yesterday. (.280, 41 R, 8 HR, 23 RBI, 8 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-4 with one steal yesterday.  (.343, 52 Runs, 10 HR, 36 RBI, 23 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI yesterday. (.323, 5 R, 3 HR, 6 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer struggled against the Padres last two nights ago to the tune of 3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 4 BB’s, 4 K’s. (0-1, 9.82 ERA, 2.45 WHIP, 7 K’s on the season)

Looking Ahead

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s Tuesdays recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Matt Cain at Washington Nationals

Mat Latos at San Diego Padres

Cole Hamels at New York Mets

3 Down

Mark Buehrle at Milwaukee Brewers

Matt Harrison at Chicago White Sox

Jeremy Hellickson at Cleveland Indians

Throwing Darts

Bud Norris at Pittsburgh Pirates

Michael Fiers vs. Miami Marlins

Edionson Volquez vs. Cincinnati Reds

Today’s Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 12-15 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that was available.

  • Scott Hairston is 10-for-26 (.385) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Cole Hamels.
  • Carlos Gomez  is 8-for-21 (.381) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Corey Hart is 2-for-2 (1.000) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Adam LaRoche is 4-for-23 (.174) in his career against today’s starter, Matt Cain.
  • Jimmy Rollins is 3-for-17 (.214) in his career against today’s starter, R.A. Dickey.
  • Justin Morneau is 3-for-21 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Rick Porcello.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

  • Matthew Dewoskin takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Albert Lang’s weekly Hot N Cold Fantasy Baseball All-Stars help give you an idea of who’s hot and who’s not.
  • Collin Hager invented his own ranking system, and in case you haven’t seen it yet, you absolutely HAVE to check out his HVaC rankings.
  • The calendar has turned to July, which means it’s time to start talking fantasy football! Before you start mock drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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