Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 31, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/31

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/31
Print Friendly

Scott Hairston, New York Mets OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, July 30th.

5 Good Nights

  • Scott Hairston: 2-5, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Kendrys Morales: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI
  • Mike Trout: 2-5, 3 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Hisashi Iwakuma: 8.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 13 K’s, W
  • Clay Buchholz: 8.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 4 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Ichiro Suzuki, Drew Stubbs, Will Venable, Darwin Barney, Chris Johnson, Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Starlin Castro, Carlos Quentin, Nelson Cruz, Maicer Izturis, Jason Heyward, Jose Altuve, Yonder Alonso, Alejandro De Aza, Josh Hamilton, Trevor Cahill, David Price, Marco Estrada, Madison Bumgarner, Tommy Hanson

5 Bad Nights

  • Jerome Williams: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, BB, K (yet he still somehow got a save)
  • Mike Leake: 1.2 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, K
  • Francisco Cordero: 1.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, BB
  • B.J. Upton: 0-7
  • Josh Reddick: 0-7

Dishonorable Mention:  Adam Dunn, Brandon Phillips, Ryan Roberts, Alberto Callaspo, Jemile Weeks, Desmond Jennings, Santiago Casilla, Sergio Romo, Bobby Parnell, Erik Bedard, Roy Oswalt, Aaron Harang, Mark Buehrle, Edinson Volquez, Cole De Vries, Max Scherzer, Jeremy Hefner, Ervin Santana, Miguel Gonzalez

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • An MRI on Mark Teixeira‘s wrist didn’t reveal any structural damage, but he still may not return to the Yankees’ lineup until this weekend.
  • Chris Sale has a “dead arm” and won’t pitch for at least five or six days. Sale is WAY over his career max innings (so this isn’t a surprise), and I’d look to deal him if you can get a decent return.
  • Ryan Braun missed last night’s game due to blisters on his hand. There’s no word yet on whether he’ll be in the Brewers’ lineup tonight, but the team has him listed as day-to-day.
  • Mark Trumbo missed last night’s game with a dislocated rib, and while the injury isn’t considered serious, he could miss another game or two.
  • Johan Santana will throw off a mound on Thursday for the first time since being placed on the DL, and if all goes as planned, he could begin a short rehab assignment and return to the Mets within a week or so.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-5 with three runs, one home run, and four RBI yesterday.  (.351, 78 Runs, 17 HR, 53 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: The Nationals did not play yesterday. (.261, 53 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-4 with one run, one home run, and three RBI yesterday. (.330, 15 R, 8 HR, 20 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Stephen Strasburg vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Yovani Gallardo vs. Houston Astros

Justin Verlander at Boston Red Sox

3 Down

Ricky Nolasco at Atlanta Braves

Chris Tillman at New York Yankees

Kyle Lohse at Colorado Rockies

Throwing Darts

Homer Bailey vs. San Diego Padres

Francisco at Minnesota Twins

Matt Harvey at San Francisco Giants

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Elvis Andrus is 22-for-51 (.431) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jered Weaver.
  • Prince Fielder is 4-for-8 (.500) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Josh Beckett.
  • Edwin Encarnacion is 5-for-13 (.385) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jason Vargas.
  • Todd Helton is 10-for-23 (.435) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Kyle Lohse.
  • Matt Wieters is 7-for-16 (.438) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Ivan Nova.
  • Brian McCann is 18-for-52 (.346) with six home runs and 20 RBI in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Nolasco.
  • Chipper Jones is 15-for-44 (.341) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Nolasco.
  • Shin-Soo Choo is 15-for-25 (.600) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Luke Hochevar.
  • Alex Rios is 9-for-26 (.346) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Nick Blackburn.
Misses
  • David Wright is 2-for-19 (.105) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.
  • Ryan Zimmerman is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Yadier Molina is 2-for-19 (.105) in his career against today’s starter, Jeff Francis.
  • Chris  Young is 2-for-11 (.182) in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
  • Dustin Pedroia is hitless in his career (13 at-bats) against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Chuck’s also got a great Added and Dropped list for this week, and he’s especially focused on the red-hot Cincinnati Reds.
  • There’s been an update to the Closer Identifier Algorithm Results! Don’t miss the latest update of Patrick DiCaprio’s patented closer-prediction system.
  • Greg Marta helps you choose your pitchers for this week in the latest Pitching Matchups to Watch.
  • And while Greg focused on pitchers, Dan Stack picks out some Players to Watch for this week.
  • We’ve come upon the Trade Deadline and Mr. Lenny Melnick’s got all the angles covered in today’s podcast!
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to July, which means it’s time to start talking fantasy football! Before you start mock drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • Mid-Tier QB’s can go a long way towards helping you win your league, and Collin Hager does the heavy-lifting for you in this week’s Impact Quarterbacks.
  • Collin’s also got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
  • Steve DeAngelo is taking a look at impact running backs, and Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, and Darren Sproles are the subjects of his latest post.
  • Dan Stack previews some impact wide receivers like Julio Jones and Eric Decker in his latest update.
  • Dan also gives out the Blair Thomas Award to a few of this year’s running back busts.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

Latest posts by Nick Raducanu (Posts)

Share

You must be logged in to post a comment.