Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 30, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/30

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/30
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Jhonny Peralta, Detroit Tigers SS/3B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, July 29th.

5 Good Nights

  • Jhonny Peralta: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Corey Hart: 4-5, 3 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Alcides Escobar: 2-5, R, 3 RBI, 2 steals
  • Clayton Kershaw: 9.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 7 K’s, W
  • Scott Feldman: 8.0 IP, 7 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Ben Revere, Brian Dozier, Shane Victorino, Drew Stubbs, Michael Morse, Jordan Schafer, Matt Wieters, Marwin Gonzalez, Anthony Rizzo, Justin Morneau, Kyle Seager, Stephen Lombardozzi, R.A. Dickey, Hiroki Kuroda, Mat Latos, Wei-Yin Chen, Doug Fister, Zack Greinke, Felix Hernandez, Gavin Floyd, Paul Maholm, Felix Doubront, Ryan Vogelsong, Adam Wainwright, Jeremy Hellickson, Brian Duensing, Tim Hudson, Lucas Harrell, Mark Rogers, Clayton Richard, Josh Johnson

5 Bad Nights

  • Jonathan Sanchez: 4.1 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 3 K’s
  • Travis Blackley: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, K
  • James McDonald: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 7 BB, 5 K’s
  • Adrian Beltre: 0-5
  • Robinson Cano: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Mark Teixeira, Ryan Braun, Lorenzo Cain, Allen Craig, Ike Davis, Danny Espinosa, Cesar Izturis, Todd Frazier, Francisco Rodriguez, John Axford, Brandon League, Ubaldo Jimenez, Gio Gonzalez, Tyler Clippard, Tom Wilhelmsen, David Robertson

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Mike Trout was held out of yesterday’s game, but take a breathe easy, Trout-owners. He was only out because of a knee contusion, and he should be available today as the Angels take on the Rangers.
  • David Ortiz (heel) is still experiencing some pain and is no longer likely to return to the lineup on Wednesday, as had originally been expected.
  • Logan Morrison was placed on the disabled list with inflammation in his right knee, and I’ve read a few reports saying he may miss the rest of the season. Sounds like it’s time to look elsewhere if you were relying on @LoMoMarlins.
  • There’s a good chance that Jonathan Broxton gets traded before tomorrow, so it might be a smart pre-emptive strike to grab Greg Holland if you’re in need of saves.
  • Brandon McCarthy (shoulder) will make a rehab start today, and if all goes well, he could be activated later this week.
  • Frank Francisco (oblique) pitched in what is expected to be his last rehab appearance last night, and if he’s feeling no soreness, he’s expected to be activated today.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout didn’t play yesterday because of a knee contusion.  (.350, 75 Runs, 16 HR, 49 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-4 with one run yesterday. (.261, 52 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 3-4 with one run, one home run, and two RBI yesterday. (.333, 14 R, 7 HR, 17 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

David Price at Oakland A’s

Madison Baumgarner vs. New York Mets

Tommy Hanson vs. Miami Marlins

3 Down

Ervin Santana at Texas Rangers

Edinson Volquez at Cincinnati Reds

Bud Norris at Milwaukee Brewers

Throwing Darts

Marco Estrada vs. Houston Astros

A.J. Griffin vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Erik Bedard at Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.


  • Ian Kinsler is 19-for-49 (.388) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
  • Albert Pujols is 26-for-86 (.302) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Roy Oswalt.
  • Miguel Montero is 7-for-14 (.500) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Aaron Harang.
  • Alfonso Soriano is 6-for-11 (.545) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Erik Bedard.
  • Michael Young is 27-for-75 (.360) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
  • Brennan Boesch is 3-for-15 (.200) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.
  • Adrian Gonzalez is 2-for-14 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Max Scherzer.
  • Josh Hamilton is 7-for-22 (.212) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
  • David DeJesus is 1-for-9 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Erik Bedard.
  • Chris Davis is hitless in his career (eight at-bats) against today’s starter, Freddy Garcia.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Patrick DiCaprio takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • There’s been an update to the Closer Identifier Algorithm Results! Don’t miss the latest update of Patrick DiCaprio’s patented closer-prediction system.
  • Chuck Anderson tells you all that you need to know about Chris Carter in his newest Position Battles post.
  • Greg Marta helps you choose your pitchers for this week in the latest Pitching Matchups to Watch.
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to July, which means it’s time to start talking fantasy football! Before you start mock drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • Collin Hager identifies this year’s game-changing quarterbacks in his latest Impact Player update.
  • Collin’s also got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
  • Steve DeAngelo is taking a look at impact running backs, and Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, and Darren Sproles are the subjects of his latest post.
  • Dan Stack previews some impact wide receivers like Julio Jones and Eric Decker in his latest update.
  • Dan also gives out the Blair Thomas Award to a few of this year’s running back busts.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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