Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 28, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/29

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/29
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Ike Davis, New York Mets 1B

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Saturday, July 28th.

5 Good Nights

  • Ike Davis: 4-4, 3 R, 3 HR, 3 RBI
  • Matt Kemp: 4-5, 3 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Ryan Ludwick: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Chad Billingsley: 7.1 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 K’s, W
  • Mike Minor: 8.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 9 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: B.J. Upton, Rajai Davis, Adrian Gonzalez, Alexi Casilla, Hanley Ramirez, Carlos Gonzalez, Colby Rasmus, Carlos Santana, Yoenis Cespedes, Pedro Ciriaco, Adam Dunn, Billy Butler, Ben Revere, Drew Stubbs, Michael Cuddyer, Joe Blanton, Samuel Deduno, Henderson Alvarez, Kevin Millwood, C.J. Wilson, Matt Moore, Philip Humber, Jordan Zimmerman, Jeff Samardzija, Bartolo Colon, Nate Eovaldi

5 Bad Nights

  • Christian Friedrich: 4.1 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, BB, K
  • Justin Masterson: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 2 K’s
  • C.C. Sabathia: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 6 K’s
  • J.J. Hardy: 0-5
  • Starling Marte: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Wilin Rosario, Chris Young, Tommy Hunter, Anibal Sanchez, Johnny Cueto, Barry Zito, Matt Harrison, Jon Lester

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Francisco Liriano was traded to the Chicago White Sox late last night, and in terms of fantasy-impact, I don’t think his value really changes all that much. He may get a couple more wins than he would have in Minnesota, but he’ll still be one of the most frustrating pitchers to own.
  • Evan Longoria (hamstring) has felt good in his rehab games at Triple-A Durham so far, and he doesn’t hit any speed bumps, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him return to the Rays’ lineup in early August.
  • Giancarlo Stanton (knee) will begin a rehab stint at High-A Jupiter on Wednesday and is hoping to return to the Marlins’ lineup on August 10th.
  • Mike Moustakas left Saturday’s game with a sprained knee and may miss a couple games. It might be a smart idea to find another option if you’re in weekly leagues.
  • A.J. Pierzynski expects to return to the White Sox’ lineup today after missing the last four games with an oblique injury.
  • Pablo Sandoval was placed on the 15-day DL, which will hopefully help him get over the hamstring injury that’s kept him out the last few games.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 0-4 yesterday.  (.350, 75 Runs, 16 HR, 49 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper was scratched from yesterday’s lineup with a stomach virus. (.265, 52 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-4 yesterday. (.317, 13 R, 6 HR, 15 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Clayton Kershaw at San Francisco Giants

Felix Hernandez vs. Kansas City Royals

Adam Wainwright at Chicago Cubs

3 Down

Gavin Floyd at Texas Rangers

Doug Fister at Toronto Blue Jays

Mat Latos at Colorado Rockies

Throwing Darts

Clayton Richard at Miami Marlins

Wei-Yin Chen vs. Oakland A’s

Paul Maholm vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Ryan Howard is 19-for-55 (.345) with six home runs in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
  • Dan Uggla is 10-for-28 (.357) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Roy Halladay.
  • Carlos Beltran is 9-for-21 (.429) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Paul Maholm.
  • Asdrubal Cabrera is 12-for-22 (.545) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Francisco Liriano.
Misses
  • Shin-Soo Choo is 3-for-16 (.188) in his career against today’s starter, Francisco Liriano.
  • Buster Posey is 5-for-24 (.208) in his career against today’s starter, Clayton Kershaw.
  • Nelson Cruz is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Gavin Floyd.
  • Elvis Andrus is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Gavin Floyd.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Greg Marta takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • There’s been an HVaC update! Don’t miss the latest edition of Collin Hager’s patented rankings system.
  • Matthew Dewoskin gives you some insight into the ever-turning closer carousel in this week’s Blown Opportunities.
  • Albert Lang identifies who’s hot and who’s not in his weekly Hot N Cold All-Stars.
  • And don’t forget to check out Patrick DiCaprio and the crew on this week’s episode of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable Show!
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to July, which means it’s time to start talking fantasy football! Before you start mock drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • Collin Hager identifies this year’s game-changing quarterbacks in his latest Impact Player update.
  • Collin’s also got an update to the ADP Report to help all of you early-drafters!
  • Steve DeAngelo is taking a look at impact running backs, and Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, and Darren Sproles are the subjects of his latest post.
  • Dan Stack previews some impact wide receivers like Julio Jones and Eric Decker in his latest update.
  • Dan also gives out the Blair Thomas Award to a few of this year’s running back busts.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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