Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 28, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/28

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Scott Diamond, Minnesota Twins SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Friday, July 27th.

5 Good Nights

  • Scott Diamond: 9.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 6 K’s, W
  • Mike Fiers: 6.1 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 9 K’s, W
  • Curtis Granderson: 3-5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Jeff Keppinger: 3-4, R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Seth Smith: 2-3, 5 RBI

Honorable Mention: Justin Morneau, John Jaso, Josh Willingham, Alex Rios, Anthony Rizzo, Yasmani Grandal, J.J. Hardy, Jeff Mathis, David Wright, Adam Jones, Brian McCann, Nelson Cruz, Joe Mauer, Nick Markakis, Denard Span, Aramis Ramirez, Albert Pujols, Michael McKenry, Matt Cain, Phil Hughes, Alex Cobb, Bronson Arroyo, Blake Beavan, Stephen Fife, Ben Sheets, Dan Haren, Kip Wells

5 Bad Nights

  • Jim Johnson: 0.1 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, BB
  • Jarrod Parker: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, BB, 8 K’s
  • Jeremy Guthrie: 5.1 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, 4 K’s
  • Rafael Furcal: 0-5
  • Matt Kemp: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Ryan Theriot, Austin Jackson, Drew Stubbs, Jesus Guzman, Ryan Cook, Sergio Romo, Josh Tomlin, Travis Wood, Aaron Cook, Lance Lynn, Zach Britton, Jonathon Niese, Ross Detwiler, Rick Porcello, Josh Collmenter, Chris Sale, Carlos Zambrano, Jeff Karstens, Yu Darvish, Jordan Lyles, Cole Hamels

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Pablo Sandoval was placed on the 15-day DL, which will hopefully help him get over the hamstring injury that’s kept him out the last few games.
  • Josh Hamilton will be held out of tonight’s game by the Rangers in an attempt to shake the slugger out of the funk that he’s been in lately. Make sure you get him out of your lineups in daily leagues.
  • David Ortiz (achilles) is reportedly on-target to return to the Red Sox’ lineup on Wednesday.
  • Jose Bautista (wrist) was able to swing a bat for the first time in a couple weeks yesterday and is still hoping to return to the Blue Jays’ lineup during the first few days of August.
  • David Freese has been held out of today’s lineup with a calf injury, but is expected to be available to start tomorrow.
  • Alejandro De Aza suffered a sprained wrist last night and could potentially play today, but be prepared to find a replacement if you’re playing in a daily league.
  • In a change of plans by the Twins, Trevor Plouffe was officially placed on the DL with a thumb injury yesterday.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-4 with one run yesterday.  (.354, 75 Runs, 16 HR, 49 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-3 yesterday. (.265, 52 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-4 with two runs, one home run, and three RBI yesterday. (.330, 13 R, 6 HR, 15 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

C.J. Wilson vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Jordan Zimmerman at Milwaukee Brewers

Matt Harrison vs. Chicago White Sox

3 Down

Jon Lester at New York Yankeees

C.C. Sabathia vs. Boston Red Sox

Johnny Cueto at Colorado Rockies

Throwing Darts

Joe Kelly at Chicago Cubs

Nate Eovaldi vs. San Diego Padres

Mike Minor vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Matt Kemp is 22-for-49 (.449) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Barry Zito.
  • Derek Jeter is 19-for-52 (.365) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
  • Buster Posey is 11-for-23 (.478) in his career against today’s starter, Chad Billingsley.
Misses
  • Dustin Pedroia is 8-for-35 (.229) in his career against today’s starter, C.C Sabathia.
  • Dan Uggla is 3-for-28 (.107) in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
  • B.J. Upton is hitless in his career (14 at-bats) against today’s starter, C.J. Wilson.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Matthew Dewoskin gives you some insight into the ever-turning closer carousel in this week’s Blown Opportunities.
  • Albert Lang identifies who’s hot and who’s not in his weekly Hot N Cold All-Stars.
  • There’s been an update to Patrick DiCaprio’s Closer Identifier Algorithm Results that you won’t wanna miss!
  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at Ben Sheets (among others) in the latest edition of Added and Dropped.
  • And don’t forget to check out Patrick DiCaprio and the crew on this week’s episode of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable Show!
Fantasy Football
  • The calendar has turned to July, which means it’s time to start talking fantasy football! Before you start mock drafting, make sure you check out Paul Greco’s pre-season rankings, including Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, Tight End, and Strength of Schedule.
  • Collin Hager identifies this year’s game-changing quarterbacks in his latest Impact Player update.
  • Steve DeAngelo is taking a look at impact running backs, and Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson, and Darren Sproles are the subjects of his latest post.
  • Dan Stack previews some impact wide receivers like Julio Jones and Eric Decker in his latest update.
  • Dan also gives out the Blair Thomas Award to a few of this year’s running back busts.
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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