Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 26, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/26

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Jesus Guzman, San Diego Padres 1B/OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night onWednesday, July 25th.

5 Good Nights

  • Jesus Guzman: 3-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Coco Crisp: 3-6, 3 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Rickie Weeks: 4-4, R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Stephen Strasburg:7.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 11 K’s, W
  • A.J. Griffin: 6.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 9 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Jose Reyes, Donovan Solano, Chase Utley, Drew Stubbs, Jose Lobaton, Dayan Viciedo, Torii Hunter, Marco Scutaro, Jeff Francoeur, Billy Butler, Chris Carter, Jayson Nix, Juan Francisco, Mike Trout, Ryan Roberts, Miguel Montero, Derek Jeter, Ryan Braun, Anthony Rizzo, Jason Marquis, Homer Bailey, Derek Holland, Aaron Harang, Kyle Lohse, Bud Norris, David Price, Max Scherzer, Jake Peavy, Jeff Francis, Kevin Correia, Jeremy Hefner, Jered Weaver, Tommy Hanson, Hisashi Iwakuma

5 Bad Nights

  • Ricky Romero: 1.1 IP, 4 H, 8 ER, 6 BB’s, K
  • Francisco Coredero: 0.2 IP, 2 H, 3 ER, BB, 2 K’s
  • Tim Lincecum: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 3 BB’s, 8 K’s
  • Matt Kemp: 0-5
  • Carlos Beltran: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Kendrys Morales, Ryan Zimmerman, Aramis Ramirez, Jimmy Rollins, Francisco Rodriguez, Scott Downs, Nick Blackburn, Ricky Nolasco, Derek Lowe

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • In case you missed it yesterday, Alex Rodriguez is going to miss the next six-to-eight weeks with a fractured bone in his left hand. The injury will likely keep him out until at least early-September, so it’s time to think about dropping the Yankees’ third baseman if you don’t have an extra spot on your DL.
  • In another piece of news yesterday, Hanley Ramirez was traded to the Dodgers and while he played third base last night, the Dodgers are planning to use him at shortstop and move Dee Gordon to a bench role when he returns (read: time to drop Gordon).
  • Brandon Morrow (oblique) will make his first rehab start Saturday and is targeting a mid-August return to the Blue Jays rotation.
  • Matt Garza has returned to Chicago to be with his wife, who is expected their fourth child any day now. Unless something changes, it doesn’t look like Garza will make his next start until at least Monday.
  • A.J. Pierzynski (oblique) hopes to return to the lineup tomorrow after missing a couple games. The White Sox haven’t talked about a stint on the DL yet, so this doesn’t seem like anything major.
  • The Twins have set a deadline of tomorrow to make a decision on whether or not to place Trevor Plouffe (thumb) on the DL. Stay tuned…
  • The Giants are going to wait until tomorrow to make a decision on whether or not to place Pablo Sandoval (hamstring) on the DL. I’ll update this piece of news as soon as I hear more.
  • After being hit by a pitch Tuesday, X-rays on Albert Pujols‘ elbow came back negative and he is currently listed as day-to-day.
  • Jose Bautista (wrist) is progressing well in his rehab and is planning to hit off a tee by the end of this week. He’s eligible to come off the DL on August 2nd, and it’s looking like that’s a very real possibility.
  • Jayson Werth (wrist) is aiming for a Tuesday return to the Nationals lineup, so make sure you take a look on your waiver-wires to see if someone got impatient and dropped the most overpaid player in the Majors this side of Carl Crawford.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-4 with three runs, one home run, and two RBI yesterday.  (.356, 74 Runs, 16 HR, 49 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 1-4 with one run yesterday. (.268, 51 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-3 with one run, one home run, and two RBI yesterday. (.323, 11 R, 5 HR, 12 RBI, 1 steal on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Justin Verlander at Cleveland Indians

A.J. Burnett at Houston Astros

Yovani Gallardo vs. Washington Nationals

3 Down

Matt Harvey at Arizona Diamondbacks

Tommy Milone at Toronto Blue Jays

Zach McAllister vs. Detroit Tigers

Throwing Darts

Wade Miley vs. New York Mets

Chris Tillman vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Jason Vargas at Kansas City Royals

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.


  • Corey Hart is 5-for-9 (.566) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Matt Holliday is 8-for-23 (.348) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
  • Adam Jones is 12-for-34 (.353) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, James Shields.
  • Billy Butler is 5-for-11 (.455) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jason Vargas.
  • Asdrubal Cabrera is 6-for-40 (.150) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Carlos Santana is 2-for-12 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Shin-Soo Choo is 9-for-42 (.214) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Yadier Molina is3-for-16 (.188) in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Matthew Dewoskin takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Matthew also gives you some insight into the ever-turning closer carousel in Blown Opportunities.
  • Albert Lang identifies who’s hot and who’s not in his weekly Hot N Cold All-Stars.
  • There’s been an update to Patrick DiCaprio’s Closer Identifier Algorithm Results that you won’t wanna miss!
  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at Ben Sheets (among others) in the latest edition of Added and Dropped.
  • Greg Marta keeps you a step ahead of your league by identifying the Pitching Matchups to Watch for this week.
  • Dan Stack continues Greg’s theme, but focuses on Players to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin gives an update on the latest closer news in Blown Opportunities.
  • Collin Hager uses his patented HVaC system to give you the top 200 for the rest of the season.
  • And don’t forget to check out Patrick DiCaprio and the crew on last night’s episode of the Fantasy Baseball Roundtable Show!
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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