Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 24, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/24

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/24
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Carlos Gomez, Milwaukee Brewers OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy baseball fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, July 23rd.

5 Good Nights

  • Carlos Gomez: 2-2, 3 R, HR, 3 RBI, 2 steals
  • Bryce Harper: 2-4, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Buster Posey: 3-4, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Jeff Samardzija: 8.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Josh Johnson: 6.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 9 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Juan Pierre, Maicer Izturis, Paul Konerko, Ryan Howard, Kendrys Morales, Ryan Zimmerman, Luis Cruz, Chris Johnson, Todd Frazier, Ian Kennedy, Justin Masterson, Ryan Vogelsong, Erik Bedard, Chris Young, Scott Feldman, Hiroki Kuroda, Mike Minor, Randy Wolf, Gavin Floyd, Chad Billingsley, Jordan Zimmerman, Joe Kelly

5 Bad Nights

  • Francisco Rodriguez: 0.2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 3 BB’s, K
  • Francisco Liriano: 2.2 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, BB, 2 K’s
  • Clayton Richard: 5.0 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 2 BB’s, 3 K’s
  • Josh Willingham: 0-5
  • Zack Cozart: 1-6

Dishonorable Mention: Jonathan Sanchez, Felix Doubront, Roy Halladay

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • In case you missed it, Ichiro Suzuki was traded to the New York Yankees yesterday. While I don’t think this will be a HUGE boost to Ichiro’s fantasy value, I think we should see an increase in his production as part the Yankees’ potent lineup.
  • Colby Lewis will undergo surgery to fix a torn flexor tendon in his right forearm and will miss the remainder of the season.
  • Depending on who you believe, Ryan Dempster may or may not be on his way to the Atlanta Braves. If the trade happens, it’s good news for his fantasy owners that he’s staying in the NL and he should have a better shot at racking up some wins on a better team.
  • In other trade news, Anibal Sanchez was traded to the Detroit Tigers and Jacob Turner was shipped to the Miami Marlins as part of the same deal. I don’t think Sanchez’s value changes all that much, but Turner should benefit from the move to the National League.
  • Matt Harvey has been called-up by the New York Mets and will make his Major League debut this Thursday at Arizona.
  • As you saw in 5 Bad Nights, Francisco Rodriguez had a bit of a meltdown last night and probably opened the door for John Axford to reclaim his job in Milwaukee. Make sure you check your waiver-wires, just in case an impatient owner cut ties with Axford too early.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-5 with one run yesterday.  (.357, 71 Runs, 15 HR, 47 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-4 with two runs, one home run, three RBI, and one steal yesterday. (.272, 50 R, 9 HR, 29 RBI, 13 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-4 yesterday. (.314, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Madison Bumgarner vs. San Diego Padres

Gio Gonzalez at New York Mets

Cliff Lee vs. Milwaukee Brewers

3 Down

Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Detroit Tigers

Jeremy Hellickson at Baltimore Orioles

Drew Pomeranz at Arizona Diamondbacks

Throwing Darts

Edinson Volquez at San Francisco Giants

Mike Leake at Houston Astros

Jose Quintana vs. Minnesota Twins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Mark Teixeira is 19-for-56 (.339) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Felix Hernandez.
  • Matt Holliday is 14-for-34 (.412) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Felix Hernandez.
  • Carlos Lee is 12-for-32 (.375) with one home run and 10 RBI in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
Misses
  • Mark Reynolds is 6-for-34 (.176) with 14 strikeouts in his career against today’s starter, Ubaldo Jimenez.
  • Danny Espinosa is 1-for-17 (.059) in his career against today’s starter, R.A. Dickey.
  • Josh Hamilton is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • There’s been an update to the Closer Identifier Algorithm Results that you won’t wanna miss!
  • Chuck Anderson takes a look at Ben Sheets (among others) in the latest edition of Added and Dropped.
  • Greg Marta keeps you a step ahead of your league by identifying the Pitching Matchups to Watch for this week.
  • Dan Stack continues Greg’s theme, but focuses on Players to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin gives an update on the latest closer news in Blown Opportunities.
  • Collin Hager uses his patented HVaC system to give you the top 200 for the rest of the season.
  • Lenny Melnick’s back! Check out today’s podcast for a look at Cliff Lee and a whole lot more fantasy baseball goodness!
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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