Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 22, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/22

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/22
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Jason Kubel, Arizona Diamondbacks OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Saturday, July 21st.

5 Good Nights

  • Jason Kubel: 3-5, 3 R, 3 HR, 6 RBI
  • Mike Napoli: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Jesus Montero: 3-4, R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Jarrod Parker: 8.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • Rick Porcello: 8.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 4 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Michael Cuddyer, Juan Uribe, Melky Cabrera, Austin Jackson, Jordan Pacheco, Chipper Jones, Willie Bloomquist, Ryan Howard, Ian Kinsler, Skip Schumaker, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Buster Posey, Lorenzo Cain, Brennan Boesch, Brett Lawrie, Chris Young, Ryan Roberts, Michael Bourn, Roger Bernadina, Jesus Guzman, Everth Cabrera, Yorvit Torrealba, A.J. Burnett, Zach McAllister, Phil Hughes, Jake Westbrook, Edwin Jackson, John Lannan, Wade Miley, Yu Darvish, Chris Tillman, Ben Sheets, Jason Vargas, Randall Delgado

5 Bad Nights

  • Ervin Santana: 1.2 IP, 8 H, 6 ER
  • Carlos Zambrano: 3.1 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 6 BB’s , 2 K’s
  • Adam LaRoche: 0-7
  • Dan Uggla: 0-6
  • Jason Heyward: 0-6

Dishonorable Mention: Adam Lind, Pablo Sandoval, Ian Desmond, Michael Morse, Stephen Lombardozzi, Marco Scutaro, Dexter Fowler, Carlos Gonzalez, Cole Hamels, Matt Cain, Chris Sale, Miguel Batista, Kip Wells, Jeff Francis, Yovani Gallardo, Scott Diamond

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • With Brett Myers being traded to the Chicago White Sox, Francisco Cordero will reportedly take over closing duties for the Houston Astros. Myers may get a save here and there in Chicago (so here’s worth holding onto if you’re desperate for saves), but Addison Reed should get the majority of the save chances on the South Side.
  • Jose Bautista (wrist) is reportedly progressing well in his rehab and is still targeting an August 2nd return to the field.
  • Johan Santana was placed on the 15-day DL with an ankle injury, but shouldn’t miss more than a couple starts. Due to Santana’s injury, it’s very likely that New York’s uber prospect, Matt Harvey, may get a look in the rotation.
  • Nick Swisher was diagnosed with a mild strain in his hip and will not play today. The Yankees are going to hold off putting him on the DL, but it’s still a possibility.
  • Bryce Harper didn’t play in the second game of yesterday’s double-header because of an ankle injury, but he is expected to be in the lineup today.
  • Matt Garza left his start yesterday after three innings due to a forearm cramp. The injury isn’t thought to be anything serious, so he’ll likely make his next start (whether it’s for the Cubs or otherwise).
  • Hanley Ramirez didn’t start Saturday’s game because of a lingering hand injury (infection). Ramirez was available to pinch run so there’s a good possibility that he’ll start today.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo is the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-3 with one run, one RBI, and one steal yesterday.  (.354, 69 Runs, 15 HR, 47 RBI, 31 steals on the season).
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 1-2 with one run and one steal yesterday. (.270, 47 R, 8 HR, 26 RBI, 12 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-4 yesterday. (.329, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

C.C. Sabathia vs. Oakland A’s

Johnny Cueto vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Lance Lynn vs. Chicago Cubs

3 Down

Dan Haren vs. Texas Rangers

Bartolo Colon vs. New York Yankees

Jacob Turner vs. Chicago White Sox

Throwing Darts

Josh Collmenter vs. Houston Astros

Joe Blanton vs. San Francisco Giants

Ross Detwiler vs. Atlanta Braves

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Alex Rodriguez is 22-for-49 (.449) with eight home runs in his career against today’s starter, Bartolo Colon.
  • Adrian Beltre is 24-for-55 (.436) with home runs in his career against today’s starter, Dan Haren.
  • Angel Pagan is 8-for-15 (.533) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
Misses
  • Torii Hunter is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Matt Harrison.
  • Adam Lind is 3-for-24 (.125) in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
  • Rickie Weeks is 4-for-20 (.200) in his career against today’s starter, Johnny Cueto.
Daily Links

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

Fantasy Baseball

  • Greg Marta takes a look at today’s pitching matchups in the latest edition of Pitch or Ditch.
  • Greg Marta also keeps you a step ahead of your league by identifying the Pitching Matchups to Watch for this week.
  • Matthew Dewoskin gives an update on the latest closer news in Blown Opportunities.
  • Collin Hager uses his patented HVaC system to give you the top 200 for the rest of the season.
Fantasy Football
If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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