Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 20, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/20

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/20
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Edinson Volquez, San Diego Padres SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, July 15th.

5 Good Nights

  • Edison Volquez: 9.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W
  • David Wright: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI
  • Brandon Phillips: 2-4, 2 R, HR, 5 RBI
  • Jesus Montero: 3-4, R, HR, 4 RBI
  • David Price: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 7 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Andres Torres, Cody Ross, B.J. Upton

5 Bad Nights

  • Gio Gonzalez: 3.1 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB’s, 2 K’s
  • Mike Leake: 5.1 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, BB , 2 K’s
  • Ubaldo Jimenez: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 5 BB’s, 5 K’s
  • Bryce Harper: 0-5
  • Denard Span: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Carlos Marmol, Bobby Parnell, Addison Reed, Jerome Williams, Mark Buehrle, Ryan Cook, Freddy Garcia

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Brett Gardner (elbow) is set to undergo arthroscopic surgery (which will likely end his season). Time to drop the Yankees’ speedster.
  • Ryan Braun (abductor) expects to play tonight, but make sure you check the lineup card before you go with him in daily leagues.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-5 yesterday. (.273, 45 R, 8 HR, 26 RBI, 11 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI yesterday.  (.352, 66 Runs, 14 HR, 45 RBI, 30 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-3 yesterday. (.338, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer didn’t fare so well against the Reds Tuesday night in posting a line of 3 IP, H, 3 ER, 5 BB’s, 4 K’s. Because of his struggles, he has been sent back down to the minors for the time being. (1-2, 6.06 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 17 K’s on the season).

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Justin Verlander vs. Chicago White Sox

Stephen Strasburg vs. Atlanta Braves

Johan Santana vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

3 Down

Bud Norris at Arizona Diamondbacks

Tommy Milone vs. New York Yankees

Homer Bailey vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Throwing Darts

Trevor Cahill vs. Houston Astros

Derek Holland at Los Angeles Angels

Drew Pomeranz at San Diego Padres

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Rickie Weeks is 11-for-21 (.524) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Homer Bailey.
  • Dan Uggla is 7-for-13 (.538) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Stephen Strasburg.
  • Elvis Andrus is 21-for-49 (.429) with six extra-base hits in his career against today’s starter, Jered Weaver.
Misses
  • Chase Utley is 4-for-27 (.148) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.
  • Paul Konerko is 8-for-49 (.163) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Rafael Furcal is 6-for-41 (.146) in his career against today’s starter, Ryan Dempster.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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