Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 19, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/19

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/19
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Cody Ross, Boston Red Sox OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, July 15th.

5 Good Nights

  • Cody Ross: 3-5, 3 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI
  • Jason Kubel: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Matt Downs: 3-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Doug Fister: 8.0 IP, 2 H, ER, 10 K’s, W
  • Hiroki Kuroda: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 5 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Adrian Gonzalez, Carlos Santana, Matt Kemp, Gregor Blanco, Garrett, Jones, Yonder Alonso, Brandon Crawford, Shane Victorino, Casper Wells, Billy Butler, Jacoby Ellsbury, Coco Crisp, Jason Heyward, Matt Joyce, Luke Scott, Aramis Ramirez, David Wright, Desmond Jennings, Ian Kennedy, Cliff Lee, Clayton Kershaw, Clayton Richard, Tommy Hunter, Adam Wainwright, Ryan Vogelsong, Chris Young, Francisco Liriano, Felix Doubront, Jordan Zimmerman, Mike Minor, Colby Lewis, Jeff Samardzija

5 Bad Nights

  • Kevin Millwood: 5.0 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, BB, 2 K’s
  • Wandy Rodrigez: 4.0 IP, 4 H, 5 ER, 2 BB’s , 4 K’s
  • C.J. Wilson: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 5 BB’s, 7 K’s
  • Martin Prado: 0-6
  • Stephen Drew: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Jimmy Rollins, Ramon Hernandez, Ryan Theriot, Justin Smoak, Dustin Ackley, Eric Hosmer, Michael Bourn, Tyler Clippard, Santiago Casilla, Jonathan Papelbon, Pedro Hernandez, Jeremy Guthrie, James McDonald, Mat Latos, Ricky Romero, Justin Masterson, Bruce Chen, Josh Johnson, Francisco Rodriguez

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • David Ortiz was officially placed on the 15-day DL yesterday with a sore achilles, but it hoping to be able to return within the next ten days.
  • After an MRI revealed no structural damage to his injured wrist, Jose Bautista is hoping to return to the Blue Jays’ lineup when his is eligible on August 1st.
  • X-rays came back negative on Brett Lawrie‘s leg after he injured it diving for a ball in yesterday’s game, and he’s hopeful that he’ll be able to play Friday against the Red Sox.
  • Drew Storen (elbow) has been activated by the Nationals and while he won’t be the team’s closer immediately, Tyler Clippard has struggled lately so Storen might be a smart stash if you need help at closer.
  • Santiago Casilla blew his fifth save in his last eight chances and the Giants are going to “re-evaluate their options at closer”, according to manager Bruce Bochy. Sounds like Sergio Romo might be a smart grab.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-4 with one run yesterday. (.278, 45 R, 8 HR, 26 RBI, 11 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 1-4 with one run yesterday.  (.353, 65 Runs, 13 HR, 44 RBI, 30 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 0-4 yesterday. (.338, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer didn’t fare so well against the Reds Tuesday night in posting a line of 3 IP, H, 3 ER, 5 BB’s, 4 K’s. (1-2, 6.06 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 17 K’s on the season)

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Gio Gonzalez vs. New York Mets

Felix Hernandez at Kansas City Royals

Madison Bumgarner at Atlanta Braves

3 Down

Jose Quintana at Boston Red Sox

A.J. Griffin vs. New York Yankees

Clay Buchholz vs. Chicago White Sox

Throwing Darts

Edinson Volquez vs. Houston Astros

Wei-Yin Chen at Minnesota Twins

Mark Buehrle at Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Ichiro Suzuki is 5-for-12 (.417) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Luke Hochevar.
  • Hanley Ramirez is 6-for-17 (.353) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Paul Maholm.
  • Angel Pagan is 11-for-28 (.393) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
Misses
  • Alfonso Soriano is 7-for-40 (.175) in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Brandon Inge is 11-for-58 (.190) with 18 strikeouts in his career against today’s starter, Freddy Garcia.
  • Ryan Ludwick is hitless in 15 career at-bats against today’s starter, Joe Saunders.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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