Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 18, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/18

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/18
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Carl Crawford, Boston Red Sox OF

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, July 15th.

5 Good Nights

  • Carl Crawford: 3-4, 2 R, RBI, 3 steals
  • Albert Pujols: 3-4, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Mike Trout: 4-6, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Barry Zito: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 4 K’s, W
  • Garrett Richards: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Buster Posey, Carlos Lee, Andruw Jones, Ryan Ludwick, Omar Infante, Jordany Valdespin, Yonder Alonso, Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones, Kevin Youkilis, Alberto Callaspo, Jesus Montero, Ross Detwiler, Jonathon Niese, Anibal Sanchez, Randy Wolf, Erik Bedard, C.C. Sabathia, Roy Oswalt, Philip Humber, Ross Ohlendorf, Johnny Cueto, Joe Kelly, Stephen Fife, Roy Halladay, Matt Moore

5 Bad Nights

  • Tyler Clippard: 1.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 2 K’s
  • Jair Jurrjens: 3.1 IP, 8 H, 8 ER, 3 BB’s , K
  • Travis Wood: 4.2 IP, 8 H, 8 ER, 2 BB’s, 6 K’s
  • Alfonso Soriano: 0-5
  • Pablo Sandoval: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Eric Young Jr., Jacob Turner, Matt Thornton, Jon Lester, Vin Mazzaro, Bobby Parnell, Christian Friedrich, Zach Britton, Trevor Bauer, Blake Beavan, Jordan Lyles, Josh Tomlin, Bartolo Colon

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Ryan Braun will miss today’s game after leaving last night’s game with a right abductor strain. With the off day tomorrow, he’s hoping he’ll be ready to return this weekend.
  • David Ortiz will get a second opinion on his achilles today in hopes that he can avoid a stint on the DL, but he will still be in a walking boot for at least a week.
  • Jose Bautista was placed on the 15-day DL with wrist inflammation. There is no timetable set for his return, so let’s keep our fingers crossed that it’s only two weeks.
  • John Axford has been removed from the closer’s role in Milwaukee and will be replaced by Francisco Rodriguez “for the time being”. I’m not sure how long “for the time being” means, but go grab K-Rod if you need saves.
  • Matt Capps has returned to the disabled list with right rotator cuff inflammation, and Jared Burton got the save for the Twins last night. Burton will split closing duties with Glen Perkins while Capps is out, but I still think Burton is the one to own of the two.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 2-5 with one RBI yesterday. (.275, 44 R, 8 HR, 26 RBI, 11 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 4-6 with three runs, one home run, and one RBI yesterday.  (.355, 64 Runs, 13 HR, 44 RBI, 30 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 2-5 yesterday. (.359, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer didn’t fare so well against the Reds last night in posting a line of 3 IP, H, 3 ER, 5 BB’s, 4 K’s. (1-2, 6.06 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 17 K’s on the season)

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Clayton Kershaw vs. Philadelphia Phillies

C.J. Wilson at Detroit Tigers

Cliff Lee at Los Angeles Dodgers

3 Down

Ricky Romero at New York Yankees

James McDonald at Colorado Rockies

Ian Kennedy at Cincinnati Reds

Throwing Darts

Clayton Richard vs. Houston Astros

Francisco Liriano vs. Baltimore Orioles

Jeff Samardzija vs. Miami Marlins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • B.J. Upton is 6-for-13 (.462) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Justin Masterson.
  • Aramis Ramirez is 17-for-45 (.378) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Adam Wainwright.
  • Daniel Murphy is 6-for-14 (.429) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jordan Zimmerman.
Misses
  • Alfonso Soriano is 2-for-16 (.125) in his career against today’s starter, Josh Johnson.
  • Derek Jeter is 3-for-23 (.130) in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Romero.
  • Hunter Pence is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Clayton Kershaw.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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