Daily Fantasy Baseball
July 16, 2012 posted by Nick Raducanu

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/16

2012 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 7/16
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Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers SP

Each and every day, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports to make sure you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. Make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league.

As always, make sure you’re getting your daily fantasy sports fix by playing the FP911Challenge. Not sure how to play? Don’t worry, because Dan Stack’s got you covered with a quick tutorial and some tips for this week.

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that almost baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committeefor your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, July 15th.

5 Good Nights

  • Yovani Gallardo: 7.0 IP, 4 H, ER, 14 K’s, W
  • Justin Verlander: 8.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 8 K’s, W
  • Matt Harrison: 9.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 3 K’s, W
  • Matt Garza: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 7 K’s, W
  • Yoenis Cespedes: 4-5, R, HR, 3 RBI

Honorable Mention: Hunter Pence, Freddie Freeman, Alex Rodriguez, Johnny Gomes, Adrian Beltre, Yadier Molina, Buster Posey, Will Middlebrooks, Eric Chavez, Jemile Weeks, Curtis Granderson, Joey Votto, Mark Trumbo, Andrew McCutchen, Ben Zobrist, Cole Hamels, Homer Bailey, Chris Sale, Luis Mendoza, Matt Cain, Chris Capuano, Jason Marquis, Ben Sheets, Carlos Villanueva, Stephen Strasburg

5 Bad Nights

  • Ernesto Frieri: 0.0 IP, H, 3 ER, 2 BB’s
  • Johan Santana: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 2 BB’s , 3 K’s
  • James Shields: 5.0 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, 3 BB’s, 5 K’s
  • Alejandro De Aza: 0-5
  • Ben Revere: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Quintin Berry, Brandon Inge, Ivan Nova, Drew Pomeranz, Ricky Nolasco, Jered Weaver, Jarrod Parker, A.J. Burnett, Trevor Cahill

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Jed Lowrie was placed on the 15-day DL with a sprained right ankle. The Astros haven’t given a timetable for his return, but it’s a possibility that he won’t be ready in two weeks.
  • Ian Desmond missed Sunday’s game with a nagging oblique injury and could potentially miss a few more games early this week.
  • Johnny Cueto‘s blister felt better in a bullpen on Sunday and he will make his next start Tuesday against Arizona.
  • Lucas Duda will have his leg issue examined in New York today to determine the cause of leg stiffness that he’s been experiencing. Hopefully this doesn’t require a stint on the DL, but it looks like he’ll probably miss at least a game or two.
  • Trout/Harper/Rizzo/Bauer Watch: With two of baseball’s best prospects being called-up earlier this season, I’m going to dedicate this space to keeping tabs on the youngsters. Here’s to hoping that you were able to grab some of them! (UPDATE: Anthony Rizzo and Trevor Bauer are the latest uber prospects to get the call, so I’ve added them to the list, as well.)
    Bryce Harper: Harper went 0-4 yesterday. (.273, 44 R, 8 HR, 25 RBI, 11 steals on the season).
    Mike Trout: Trout went 2-5 with one run and one RBI yesterday.  (.349, 60 Runs, 12 HR, 41 RBI, 30 steals on the season).
    Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo went 1-3 with one RBI yesterday. (.356, 9 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI on the season).
    Trevor Bauer: Bauer will make his next start on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds. (1-1, 5.40 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 13 K’s on the season)

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all the stats I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here’s today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Chris Tillman at Minnesota Twins (this one’s a Patrick DiCaprio Special – see the link to Pitch or Ditch below for more on this)

Edwin Jackson at Miami Marlins

Phil Hughes vs.Toronto Blue Jays

3 Down

Ervin Santana at Detroit Tigers

Michael Fiers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Scott Diamond vs. Baltimore Orioles

Throwing Darts

Bronson Arroyo vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Joe Blanton at Los Angeles Dodgers

Zach McAllister at Tampa Bay Rays

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Andre Ethier is 6-for-14 (.429) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
  • Omar Infante is 7-for-13 (.538) in his career against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Check to make sure he’s in the lineup, but Maicer Izturis is 5-for-7 (.714) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Rick Porcello.
Misses
  • Jhonny Peralta is 2-for-14 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
  • Justin Upton is 3-for-21 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Bronson Arroyo.
  • Adam Lind is 4-for-22 (.182) in his career against today’s starter, Phil Hughes.

Don’t forget to check out the rest of the great content on FantasyPros911.com, starting with some of our most recent updates:

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.
Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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